Broadcom’s (BRCM) stock dropped some when analysts speculated that it might not make components for the Apple iPhone (AAPL). Another tech company, Marvell Technology (MRVL) went up on rumors that it would supply parts. A day earlier, Broadcom’s stock was up on speculation that it would supply parts for the new phone.
Broadcom’s problems are broader than iPhone rumors.
The Los Angeles Times reported that the US Attorney and SEC are now looking into stock-option dating issues involving Broadcom’s two founders.
Broadcom’s shares were $50 in March, but have fallen to under $30 recently.
Given Broadcom’s position in the set-top, cell phone, wireless and VoIP markets, it is a bit of a surprise that the stock has fallen so much, but Texas Instuments (TXN) and Qualcomm (QCOM) put price pressure on in some of these markets. And, according to Morningstar, the shares are expensive by a number of measurements compared with its peer group. These include price-to-earnings, price-to-book, and price-to-sales.
Although Broadcom’s earnings data has not been given to the SEC for two quarters, market analysts do not seeing Broadcom’s earnings growing in the later half of 2006. And, the company said that 2007 would not have spectacular growth either.
Broadcom announce earnings on February 8. If the news is bad, and the stock moves back toward its 52-week low of $22, the company may become an attractive acquisition. If the stock goes that low, Broadcom’s market cap would be $11 billion and the company has over $2 billion in cash. The company’s revenue run rate is about $4 billion.
The company that would probably gain the most in hooking up with Broadcom is Marvell. The company is smaller, but the market gives it a higher multiple because of its growth and improving profits. The two companies are in closely related segments of the chip market and a combination would probably benefit from a savings of $200 million a year from a combined cost structure.
Braodcom’s IP and anti-trust fights with Qualcomm seems to be going its way. That could add some value to its products and value of its intellectual property.
Two good companies. Depressed stocks. High cost structures.
Makes a marriage?
Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at [email protected]. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.