Jefferies Very Positive on 4 Leading Software Stocks for 2020

By Lee Jackson Updated Jan 30, 2:43PM EST · Published Oct 12, 7:10AM EDT

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Jefferies Very Positive on 4 Leading Software Stocks for 2020 — © Robert Giroux / Getty Images

Despite the recent volatility, all the major indexes are still up by double-digits for 2019. With active managers outperforming passive managers for the first time in years, many investors are looking for solid stock ideas for the rest of this year and into 2020. With technology still expected to be a sector leader, and software far less cyclical than other areas within the sector, it makes sense for growth investors to look at the leaders.

Last week, four top software stocks were rerated with an assumption of coverage from Brent Thill at Jefferies. While positive overall, the selections are more defensive, and with good reason. With valuations stretched, and the overall macro outlook somewhat more dicey, Thill “[f]avors the large cap names which combine strong fundamentals and multiple support and a preference for applications where there is less chance of being disrupted by Amazon.”

All four large-cap selections are rated Buy at Jefferies and make sense for long-term growth accounts with a degree of risk tolerance.

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Adobe Systems

This high-profile old-school software stock has backed up in price and is offering the best entry point in some time. Adobe Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE | ADBE Price Prediction) is a diversified software company that offers electronic document technology and graphic content authoring applications to creative professionals, designers, knowledge workers, high-end consumers, developers and enterprises.

Top Wall Street analysts see the company benefiting from artificial intelligence, predictive analytics, automation bots, speech recognition and natural language processing and image recognition. Some on Wall Street see earnings increasing a solid 30% or more for 2020. Jefferies has felt for years that the company deserves a premium multiple to its peers due to Adobe’s strong competitive position in the creative space and above-average growth prospects.

The Jefferies price target for the shares is $340, and the Wall Street consensus target is $289.79. The shares traded of Friday’s close at $278.29.

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Intuit

This company hits all the metrics in the technology sector for accounting needs. Intuit Inc. (NASDAQ: INTU) is a provider of business and financial management solutions for small and medium-sized businesses, financial institutions, consumers and accounting professionals.

Products and services include TurboTax, QuickBooks, Quicken, small business financial management and payroll processing, personal finance and tax preparation and filing and online banking services through its Digital Insight acquisition. Intuit also offers products on a software as a service (SaaS) platform across all its business divisions.

Intuit has served small businesses and accountants with QuickBooks for more than 20 years. The company was an early innovator in cloud accounting when it first launched QuickBooks Online in 2001. QuickBooks Online has more than a million paying subscribers, cementing its market leadership as small businesses shift to the cloud.

Over 40% of small businesses are using either Quickbooks Online or Quickbooks Desktops, while 35% are using Excel or manual paper accounting. This highlights the underlying opportunity for the company going forward.

Investors receive a 0.79% dividend. Jefferies has a $320 price target, while the consensus target is $289.79. Shares closed on Friday at $270.07.

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Microsoft

This top old-school technology stock saw posted all-time highs this year, and the company has a massive $133.8 billion sitting on the balance sheet. Microsoft Inc. (NASDAQ: MSFT) continues to find an increasing amount of support from portfolio managers, who have added the software giant to their holdings at an increasingly faster pace so far this year and all of last.

Many Wall Street analysts feel that Microsoft has become a clear number two in the public or hyper-scale cloud infrastructure market with Azure, which is the company’s cloud computing platform offering. Some have flagged Azure as a solid rival to Amazon’s AWS service, while others maintain that Microsoft is discounting Azure for large enterprises, such that Azure may be cheaper than AWS for larger users. The cloud was big in the second-quarter earnings report, which was outstanding.

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Microsoft shareholders receive a 1.45% dividend. The $160 Jefferies price target compares with both the $156.77 posted consensus price objective as well as the most recent share price of $139.68.

Salesforce.com

This top company has reported solid fiscal 2019 results so far as billings have drastically improved, and this past quarter was no exception. Salesforce.com Inc. (NYSE: CRM) provides enterprise cloud computing solutions, with a focus on customer relationship management to various businesses and industries worldwide. It has one of the most valuable tech brands in the world.

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It offers enterprise cloud computing applications and platform services, including Sales Cloud that enables companies to store data, monitor leads and progress, forecast opportunities, gain insights through relationship intelligence and collaborate around sales on desktop and mobile devices.

The company also provides Service Cloud, which enables companies to deliver personalized customer service and support, as well as connect their service agents with customers on various devices, and Marketing Cloud, which enables companies to plan, personalize and optimize customer interactions.

In addition, Salesforce announced earlier this month that it has completed its acquisition of Tableau Software, bringing together the world’s number one customer relationship management company with the world’s number one analytics platform.

Jefferies has set its price target at $171. The consensus target was last seen at $182.72, and shares ended the week trading at $149.37.

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These top companies have had substantial runs over the past couple of years, and with third-quarter earnings about to hit the tape, it may make sense to buy partial positions and see how the results come in. The good news for investors is that they are all leaders in their specific categories and should remain that way for years.

About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.