AI Is Starting to Hurt Earnings, and It Could Get Worse

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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AI Is Starting to Hurt Earnings, and It Could Get Worse

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Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD), usually considered the number two artificial intelligence (AI) chip company behind Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA), posted disappointing earnings. Its outlook for the year’s final quarter was for revenue to be between $7.2 billion and $7.8 billion. Investors panicked and the shares dropped 9%. The expectations for AI growth are so fantastic that results must be spectacular.

Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) disappointed investors despite a solid quarter. Revenue was up 16% to $65.6 billion, and earnings rose 10% to $3.30 per share. Its cloud business, known as “Intelligent Cloud,” gained 20% to $21.4 billion. Satya Nadella, board chair and chief executive officer of Microsoft, pointed out how critical AI is to his company: “AI-driven transformation is changing work, work artifacts, and workflow across every role, function, and business process.”

Microsoft Chief Financial Officer Amy Hood ruined the earnings party. She said Microsoft’s revenue for the current quarter would take a hit because of losses at OpenAI, of which Microsoft is part owner. The total would be $1.5 billion. Hood’s comments also hinted at slowing growth in this quarter. What happened to the AI growth explosion? Microsoft’s stock dropped almost 4%. There had already been doubters. Shares were up 15% year to date before earnings, while the S&P 500 was 24% higher.

AMD and Microsoft raise concerns that AI revenue is not growing as fast as expected. Nvidia’s revenue will be the real test. Investors will think the AI explosion is in trouble if they are light.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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