Level 3 Guidance Sends Short Sellers Covering (LVLT)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Level 3 Communications (NASDAQ: LVLT) is out with earnings, and the short sellers are getting out of the way.  The company posted -$0.12 EPS on $1.09 Billion in revenues, while First Call estimates were -$0.11 EPS and $1.06 Billion in revenues.

James Crowe, CEO, has noted that telecom strength has helped in the last several quarters and that core communications services pricing continues to be positive.  The company has also substantially increased available installation capacity. 

Level 3 has also reaffirmed its two primary goals for 2008.  The first is to reach free cash flow breakeven on a run rate basis during 2008, and the second is to increase sales and installations to rates that match customer demand for services.  More specifically, the company noted that performance has exceeded earlier expectations and it expects to be "free cash flow breakeven" for the remaining three quarters of this year.  Deferred communications revenue decreased slightly to $918 million at the end of Q1-2008, compared to $939 million in Q1-2007 and $929 million in Q42007.

This is key for Level 3 in our opinion.  With a long-term debt of $6.831 Billion and cash and short-term securities of $568 million (including $8M restricted), their ability to remain cash flow breakeven is acceptable.  We have just covered Level 3 in our weekly "10 Stocks Under $10" as one that we expect some longer-term recapitalization as part of that debt starts to come closer to maturity, but on a short term basis we expected a short-covering rally into earnings.  That last short interest was massive at 243.9 million shares.

Shares are up over 10% at $2.62 in pre-market trading this morning, and the 52-week trading range is $1.68 to $6.42.

Jon C. Ogg
April 23, 2008

Jon Ogg is a producer of and editor for both the Special Situations newsletter and the "10 Stocks Under $10" weekly newsletter for a673b.bigscoots-temp.com; he can be reached at [email protected] and he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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