Nokia’s Future in Dumb Phones

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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The press hit the high points of new research about smartphone sales in Europe. The data were analyzed as part of the Kantar Worldpanel. Largely lost in the tidal wave of information is why Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) has posted rising market share in Europe. This is due primarily to sales of Nokia Corp. (NASDAQ: NOK) handsets. The phones Nokia has had success with are cheap and have very limited features.

At the other end of the market, the one dominated by expensive smartphones, are Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Samsung. Kantar reported:

Android remains the top operating system across Europe with a 70.1% market share, but its dominant position is increasingly threatened as growth trails behind both Windows and iOS.

While the forecast for the future of Android may be a bit pessimistic, its market share of seven in 10 is remarkable.

As for Nokia and Windows, people who want to spend close to the minimum on smartphones have been the sales driver:

Windows Phone’s latest wave of growth is being driven by Nokia’s expansion into the low and mid range market with the Lumia 520 and 620 handsets. These models are hitting the sweet spot with 16 to 24 year-olds and 35 to 49 year-olds, two key groups that look for a balance of price and functionality in their smartphone.

It is rare that the lowest end of any industry is the most profitable. Some studies show that Apple is the only company that makes a large sum in the smartphone industry, while Samsung makes a small amount. The rest of the industry loses money, probably because of low sales and an inability to press consumers and carriers on pricing.

Windows may have picked up sales in Europe, but the cost to Nokia has to be high enough the it damages both its P&L and balance sheet. There is an old adage in sales: “Cheap gets expensive.” Without a product that can thrive near the top of the smartphone industry, Nokia and Microsoft only have a chance to shore up their position at the bottom of a wildly competitive market.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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