As Apple iPhone 5S Wait Time Drops to Three Days, a Demand Problem?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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When Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) released the iPhone 5S, the time buyers had to wait to get new phones lasted as long as two weeks. The figure has dropped as low as three days. Apple is not telling whether the change is based on supply or demand.

Most analysis of the iPhone 5S claims that the smartphone has been a runaway success, while the new iPhone C has not. Apple, based on the remarkable intelligence of its management, fired up suppliers as fast as it could to meet the demand, obviously. Or, it left them alone if it did not need the phones.

An alternate theory is that Apple has always manipulated supply and demand. It was a trick Steve Jobs played well. Make the consumer believe that demand is great by constraining supply. He created a hunger by forcing people to wait in lines, and then wait online or at the stores of partners like AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T). He risked that some people would walk away and not buy the phone, or buy an alternative phone. Current Apple management may have decided to keep that tradition.

But Apple has a problem with playing the supply game now. Phones like the Samsung Galaxy are considered as good as or better than the iPhone. If customers cannot get an iPhone, they have an alternative. Jobs did not have to face that.

Of course, the biggest challenge Apple faces has nothing to do with the Jobs trick or constraints in supply. It is that the three-day wait for the iPhone is a sea change. People no longer rush to get the phone. When they can buy the Samsung, do they decide to wait for the iPhone 6? Apple will not say, but its next round of earnings will. In the meantime, it only takes three days to get an iPhone. Where are the lines for that?

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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