Car Sales Expected to Post Record November

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Car Sales Expected to Post Record November

© courtesy of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles

November U.S. car and light truck sales should dampen anxiety that the industry has peaked. New 2017 models have reached dealers after all. And interest rates are low enough to continue the option of attractive loan rates.

New research shows November cars sales will break a very old record:

New-vehicle sales are expected to increase 4 percent year over year to a total of 1.37 million units in November 2016, resulting in an estimated 17.7 million seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), according to Kelley Blue Book, the vehicle valuation and information source trusted and relied upon by both consumers and the automotive industry. This will be the highest November sales total on record, beating the previous record of 1.32 million units in November 2001. New vehicle sales are expected to increase 4 percent year-over-year to a total of 1.37 million units in November 2016, resulting in an estimated 17.7 million seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), according to Kelley Blue Book. This will be the highest November sales total on record, beating the previous record of 1.32 million units in November 2001.

The annual sales rate is also a tremendous jump from the 10 million sales trough of 2009.

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Among the weakest-performing manufacturer by far, Fiat Chrysler (NYSE: FCAU) sales are expected to drop 4.5% to 168,000. White hot Subaru sales are expected to continue with a forecast increase of 15% to 53,000. Tim Fleming, analyst for Kelley Blue Book, commented:

Subaru of America could report another record-breaking month in November, and Kelley Blue Book projects 15 percent year-over-year growth. Subaru crossovers like the Outback and Crosstrek will lead the way and should rise more than 20 percent, while their cars will likely be down.  However, Subaru will soon receive a boost from the redesigned Impreza hitting dealerships in December.

KBB’s summary of the industry:

  Sales Volume 1 Market Share 2
Manufacturer Nov-16 Nov-15 YOY % Nov-16 Nov-15 YOY %
General Motors (Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC) 249,000 229,296 8.6% 18.2% 17.4% 0.7%
Toyota Motor Company (Lexus, Scion, Toyota) 195,000 189,517 2.9% 14.2% 14.4% -0.2%
Ford Motor Company (Ford, Lincoln) 187,000 186,889 0.1% 13.6% 14.2% -0.6%
Fiat Chrysler (Chrysler, Dodge, FIAT, Jeep, RAM) 168,000 175,974 -4.5% 12.3% 13.4% -1.1%
American Honda (Acura, Honda) 126,000 115,441 9.1% 9.2% 8.8% 0.4%
Nissan North America (Infiniti, Nissan) 116,000 107,083 8.3% 8.5% 8.1% 0.3%
Hyundai-Kia 113,000 105,560 7.0% 8.2% 8.0% 0.2%
Subaru of America 53,000 46,070 15.0% 3.9% 3.5% 0.4%
Volkswagen Group (Audi, Volkswagen, Porsche) 47,500 45,032 5.5% 3.5% 3.4% 0.0%
Total 3 1,370,000 1,314,794 4.2%
1 Historical data from OEM sales announcements
2 Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insights
3 Includes brands not shown

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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