Why Growth Is Muted at Tesla

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By Chris Lange Published
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Tesla Motors Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) is watching its shares free fall after its CEO Elon Musk made some less than positive projections on the company’s outlook at the Automotive News World Congress. Suffice it to say he predicted that the company would not have a full-year profit until 2020.

According to Musk, to reach profitability the company will need to sell 500,000 cars per year, which is not projected until 2020.

In addition to this outlook, Tesla also announced weak sales in China for the fourth quarter. Musk commented on this, saying that the weaker sales were the result of a misperception by Chinese consumers that there might be difficulty in charging the electric cars. However, Musk expects the sales issue to be resolved by the middle of the year.

At the event, Musk also mentioned that Tesla was open to partnerships with retailers to sell its cars, but this could not take place until after the company had remedied its production bottlenecks. It is worth noting that he said Tesla is not actively seeking any partnerships.

Musk further stated that Tesla could be profitable already, but the company would rather opt to invest in new technology and expanded retail networks. He has followed Google on investing in R&D and real spending on efforts that may not pay off for a decade — or ever. That may be a part of what is hurting GAAP profitability.

ALSO READ: 2014 Electric Vehicle Sales a Mixed Bag

The just-introduced Chevrolet Bolt is considered the closest competitor, in terms of electric cars, and its release is expected in 2017. However, Musk is not worried and does not see it as a competitive threat.

Shares of Tesla were down over 7% at $189.28 in Wednesday morning trading. The stock has a consensus analyst price target of $273.21 and a 52-week trading range of $162.10 to $291.42.

Photo of Chris Lange
About the Author Chris Lange →

Chris Lange is a writer for 24/7 Wall St., based in Houston. He has covered financial markets over the past decade with an emphasis on healthcare, tech, and IPOs. During this time, he has published thousands of articles with insightful analysis across these complex fields. Currently, Lange's focus is on military and geopolitical topics.

Lange's work has been quoted or mentioned in Forbes, The New York Times, Business Insider, USA Today, MSN, Yahoo, The Verge, Vice, The Intelligencer, Quartz, Nasdaq, The Motley Fool, Fox Business, International Business Times, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Barron’s, Benzinga, and many other major publications.

A graduate of Southwestern University in Georgetown, Texas, Lange majored in business with a particular focus on investments. He has previous experience in the banking industry and startups.

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