Can Lincoln Triple Sales? No

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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The Lincoln Motor Company showed its new Lincoln Continental Concept, which means it is not a real car yet that real people can buy. As part of the launch, Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), Lincoln’s parent company, forecast it could push sales of the luxury brand to almost 300,000 worldwide by 2020. That assumes Mercedes, BMW, Audi and several Japanese luxury car companies leave the market.

Ford believes the Continental brand, which was retired in 2002, can be resurrected as a model because it has a brand name and long history. Lincoln’s brand new cars do not. However, if memory serves, the Continental was mostly a vehicle for old people and chauffeurs. The average Lincoln buyer, even with the Continental gone, is over 61 years old.

Lincoln’s new lineup has cars and crossovers that include the MKC, MKS and MKZ. Lincoln management already understands these cars do not have the brand value of the BMW 5-series or 7-series, nor the Mercedes C-Class, E-Class or S-Class. Lincoln has to overcome the lack of recognition of its car line, along with the years-long habits of luxury car buyers, both in the United States and abroad.

Mercedes and BMW will not stand still. Each has its own concept cars, as well as model lines with seven or eight models, each of which has several variations. Lincoln not only has to leap over its largest competition. The U.S. company has to deal with their brands. According to the most recent version of Interbrand’s Best Global Brands list, Mercedes ranked 10th at $34 billion, followed immediately by BMW with a nearly identical value. It took decades to build those brand values. It will take decades, and a struggle against long odds, to match them.

Some brands fall so far behind their rivals that it becomes impossible to catch up. Lincoln falls into that category, and a new concept car cannot overcome that.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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