Will Alcoa Help Metal Outlook in 2007?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Alcoa (AA) is trading up some 4% in after-hours trading.  The company posted $0.74 EPS and revenues were $7.84 Billion; estimates were $0.65 and $7.6+ Billion.  These EPS numbers were ex-items and there were gains and losses outside of this, but the company’s strong stance and outlook are leading the way per Alain Belda, the CEO & Chairman of Alcoa:

"As we enter 2007, market fundamentals remain strong. We will generate more than enough cash this year to fund our capital investment programs. We will continue to deliver strong results, invest in our future, and keep a strong balance sheet," said Belda. "And, we continue to manage our investment decisions and portfolio actions on the basis of contribution to profitable growth."

Alcoa has been very decoupled from the other aluminum trends because of internal issues, but this report weas good enough that it has some of the others in the group up after hours: Alcan (AL) nil; Novelis (NVL) nil; Aluminum Corp of China (ACH) +3.8% at $22.57; Century Aluminuaam (CENX) +2.7% at $40.47; also this was even good enough that US Steel (X) is up 0.8% at $70.75.

Jim Cramer on CNBC back on December 18, 2006 said Alcoa would be acquired or taken private by this time next year, so we’ll have to see if this acts as a tutning point for Alcoa.  The stock is still well under the mid-point of the $26.39 to $36.96 trading range seen in the stock over the last 52-weeks.  It has been dead money for some time as ittraded as high as $39.44 in january 2004 and $40.50 back in December 2001and almost $46.00 back in May 2001.

Jon C. Ogg
January 9, 2007

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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