EL Stock Price Prediction
Estee Lauder Companies Inc
Based on 24/7 Wall St.'s proprietary analysis, we are setting a target price of $64.03 for Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) over the next 12 months. This target price suggests a 19.26% downside from the current price of $79.30. In an optimistic scenario, EL could reach as high as $92.92, while our conservative scenario places the floor at $59.88. Wall Street analyst sentiment shows 10 Buy, 13 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings from 24 analysts covering the stock.
Current Price
$79.30
Target Price
$64.03
Optimistic Scenario
$92.92
Conservative Scenario
$59.88
The Bottom Line
Estee Lauder Companies Inc faces potential headwinds at current valuations. Our analysis suggests 19.3% downside risk to our $64.03 target. Investors may want to consider reducing exposure or waiting for a better entry point.
12-Month Price Scenarios
Where EL could be in one year
This chart shows three potential price paths for EL over the next 12 months: our Target Price, an Optimistic Scenario, and a Conservative Scenario. Learn how we calculate our price targets →
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Catalysts
Factors that could drive upside
In our optimistic scenario, EL could reach $92.92 (+17.2% from current price). Key catalysts include:
- Better-than-expected earnings results
- Favorable sector and market conditions
- Positive analyst revisions or upgrades
Risks
Factors that could limit upside
In our conservative scenario, EL could fall to $59.88 (-24.5% from current price). Key risks include:
- Earnings misses or guidance cuts
- Broader market or economic headwinds
- Increased competition or margin pressure
Analyst Sentiment
24 analysts covering EL
The 24/7 Factor
Our proprietary price adjustment model
24/7 Wall St.'s stock forecasts utilize a number of factor adjustments that either increase or decrease a stock's 12-month price target. Toggle the factors our model uses on or off below to see how each impacts EL's share price.
Our Adjustment
1.040×
Adjusted Target
$64.03
Factor Components Toggle to simulate
5-Year Price Projection
Long-term quarterly forecast through 2031
Optimistic Scenario
$122.00
+53.9%
Target Price
$56.65
-28.6%
Conservative Scenario
$56.15
-29.2%
Long-term projections factor in increased uncertainty over time.
Frequently Asked Questions
EL stock price predictions and forecasts
What is the EL stock price prediction for 2030?
Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects EL could trade at an average price of $60.59, with a potential range between $45.44 and $75.74. This represents a potential 23.6% decline from today's price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.
Is EL a buy, sell, or hold right now?
24/7 Wall St. currently rates EL as a SELL. Significant downside (-19.3%) Among Wall Street analysts, 10 rate it Buy, 13 rate it Hold, and 1 rate it Sell.
What is the EL stock price target in an optimistic scenario?
In our optimistic scenario for EL, the stock could reach $92.92 over the next 12 months, representing a 17.2% gain from today's price. This scenario assumes favorable conditions materialize, including strong earnings growth, positive market sentiment, and successful execution of company initiatives.
What is the downside risk for EL stock?
In our conservative scenario, EL could trade as low as $59.88 over the next 12 months, representing a 24.5% decline from current levels. This scenario accounts for potential headwinds including earnings misses, competitive pressures, or broader market weakness.
How accurate are EL stock price predictions?
Stock price predictions are forward-looking estimates, not guarantees. Our model for EL incorporates analyst consensus, valuation metrics, technical indicators, and market sentiment. However, actual stock performance depends on many unpredictable factors including earnings surprises, macroeconomic changes, and market psychology. We provide optimistic and conservative scenarios alongside our target price to illustrate the range of potential outcomes. Always conduct your own research before investing.
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