Q3 25 EPS
$-0.51
BEAT +76.60%
Est. $-2.18
Q3 25 Revenue
$1.02B
BEAT +16.80%
Est. $869.9M
vs S&P Since Q3 25
+79.5%
BEATING MARKET
MRNA +86.9% vs S&P +7.4%
Market Reaction
Did MRNA Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
Moderna delivered a notably stronger-than-expected third quarter, with the biotech posting a loss of $0.51 per share against a consensus estimate of -$2.18, a 76.60% beat, as disciplined cost management and a solid early start to the respiratory viru… Read more Moderna delivered a notably stronger-than-expected third quarter, with the biotech posting a loss of $0.51 per share against a consensus estimate of -$2.18, a 76.60% beat, as disciplined cost management and a solid early start to the respiratory virus season combined to lift results well above the bar Wall Street had set. Revenue came in at $1.02 billion, beating the $869.89 million consensus by 16.80%, though the figure still represents a 45.2% decline year-over-year as the company continues navigating a post-pandemic reset in COVID vaccination demand. The primary engine was $971 million in COVID vaccine sales, with the U.S. Accounting for $781 million of that total. Cost of sales fell sharply to just 21% of net product sales, down from 28% a year ago, underscoring the cost discipline driving the beat. Looking ahead, Moderna narrowed its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $1.60–$2.00 billion while raising its year-end cash projection to $6.50–$7.00 billion, bolstered by a recently secured $1.5 billion credit facility as the company targets cash breakeven by 2028.
Key Takeaways
- • COVID vaccine sales of $971 million driven by successful launch of mNEXSPIKE for 2025-2026 respiratory virus season
- • Cost of sales as percentage of net product sales improved to 21% from 28% due to manufacturing productivity gains
- • R&D expenses decreased 30% year-over-year through investment prioritization and clinical trial efficiencies
- • Ongoing cost-reduction initiatives improved expected 2025 operating expenses by $0.7 billion
MRNA YoY Financials
Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024, source: SEC Filings
MRNA Revenue by Segment
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
MRNA Revenue by Geography
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
“We delivered strong commercial and financial performance in the third quarter, supported by COVID vaccine sales following the successful launch of mNEXSPIKE and a significant improvement in expected 2025 operating expenses from our ongoing cost-reduction initiatives.”
— Stéphane Bancel, Q3 2025 Earnings Press Release
MRNA Earnings Trends
MRNA vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
MRNA EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
MRNA Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
MRNA Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 | — | $-3.40 | — | $389.0M | +64.58% |
| Q4 25 BEAT FY | $-2.62 | $-2.11 | +19.47% | $678.0M | — |
| FY Full Year | $-7.89 | $-7.26 | +7.97% | $1.94B | +3.55% |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $-2.18 | $-0.51 | +76.60% | $1.02B | +16.80% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $-2.97 | $-2.13 | +28.34% | $142.0M | +25.71% |
| Q1 25 | — | $-2.52 | — | $108.0M | — |