Citigroup Cuts China 2013 GDP Forecast to 7.4%

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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One day after Christine Lagarde remarked that the International Monetary Fund may cut its global 2013 GDP forecast below its current 3.3%, Citigroup has cut its China forecast to 7.4%. The action likely is due in part to poor PMI readings and turmoil within the nation’s financial system. Whatever the trigger, the People’s Republic is no longer an engine that produces double-digit improvements each year.

Other analysts have chopped China’s GDP improvement this year to 6.0%. Such a low number would help drag down the global economy because it is the second largest by gross domestic product. The European Union, mired in a recession, has, as a region, a larger GDP than the United States, and it has been a boat anchor on the global economy for years. Although it appears that the world will not enter another recession, it may be close.

According to MarketWatch:

Citigroup on Monday cut its economic growth forecasts for China, citing downside risks to growth from “policy missteps.” The brokerage cut China’s gross domestic product growth to 7.4% from 7.6% in 2013, and to 7.1% from 7.3% in 2014. “The recent episode in the interbank market highlights the lack of communication with the market and possibly coordination between government agencies,” they said. However, the revised forecasts are based on a conservative assumption of global recovery, and therefore, “there can be upward surprises,” Citi added

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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