Why Average Gas Prices Will Reach Two-Year Memorial Day High

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Gasoline prices for Memorial Day will reach a two-year high, according to data from the AAA Fuel Gauge Report. It is not clear at all what, if anything, this will do to the economy. So far, the rapid fall and rise of gas prices during the past year have had little discernible effect on consumer behavior. That will continue for the balance of the year, unless the upward swing becomes more violent.

The organization reported:

Today’s national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline is $3.65. This price is seven cents more expensive than one week ago and 14 cents more than one month ago. The seven-cent weekly increase is the largest such spike since February and today’s national average price at the pump is the highest since March.

Much of the increase is due to oil prices, AAA management says. Since oil has continued to tick up toward $100 a barrel, there may not be relief through the balance of the summer.

AAA and other organizations put out estimates of how many people will travel on summer holidays, primarily on Memorial Day, the Independence Day and Labor Day. So far, there have been no dire predictions of sharp drops. If other consumer behavior is any measure, there will not be much change. So far, higher tax rates and persistent unemployment have not overwhelmed consumer spending. Road trips are relatively cheap, particularly in world in which purchases of expensive new cars and new or old homes have picked up. A surge in consumer spending has relegated gasoline prices to a back burner. That was not the case a few years ago, especially in 2008, when the recession was vicious and gas prices moved toward $4.

If Memorial Day is a reasonable litmus test, so far the consumer economy continues to hold its own, and may even have gained speed. A few cents a gallon more does not matter.

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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