How Weakness in Clean Tech Stocks Could Lead to Huge Gains

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By Trey Thoelcke Published
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While Wall Street firms hold and attend conferences for everything imaginable, often a very telling metric for the conference is attendance. At the recent CleanTech conference attendance was up 70% year-over-year. The analysts at UBS attended, and said that the overall tone was very positive. They also commented that demand for the second quarter and the pricing environment appears to be relatively robust. While visibility for the second half of 2014 remains limited, companies they spoke to are generally upbeat about growth and profitability prospects for the remainder of the year.

With recent weakness and low expectations for the solar and LED stocks, now may prove to be an excellent entry point for investors looking to own the space. The UBS team reiterated a rating of Buy on these four top stocks.

Trina Solar Ltd. (NYSE: TSL) is a global leader in photovoltaic (PV) modules, solutions and services. Founded in 1997 as a PV system integrator, Trina Solar today drives smart energy together with installers, distributors, utilities and developers worldwide. The company reports earnings next week. Aggressive investors could buy a half position in front of the number. The UBS price target is $23. The Thomson/First Call consensus estimate is lower at $20.02. Trina closed trading on Tuesday at $11.27. A move to the UBS target would be more than a 100% gain.

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SolarCity Corp. (NASDAQ: SCTY) is a pure-play leader in the fast-growth, roof-top solar as a service market. With many long-term contracts providing visibility into future cash flows, the company is a top name for risk tolerant investors to own. UBS has a gigantic $90 price target for the stock. The consensus number is huge as well at $74.89. SolarCity closed Tuesday at $54.38. A move to the aggressive UBS target would be a large 65% gain for shareholders.

SunPower Corp. (NASDAQ: SPWR) had very strong earnings, and the stock responded well. SunPower is one of the best Middle Eastern and African plays around for the growing solar market there. It has a strong gross margin of 27%, a developing utility pipeline in the region and is in a good position to use Total’s African connections. The UBS price target is $38, and the consensus target is $37.32. SunPower closed Tuesday at $33.77.

Yingli Green Energy Holding Co. (NYSE: YGE) may be the ideal stock for aggressive investors looking to acquire a large share position. The company is the world’s largest PV module manufacturer in terms of production capacity and shipments. Yingli’s manufacturing covers the PV value chain from ingot casting and wafering through solar cell production and module assembly. UBS has a $6 price target, while the consensus is just below that at $5.88. The stock closed Tuesday at $3.03. A move to the UBS target would be almost a 100% gain for shareholders.

Clearly the clean technology revolution is making headway as a provider not to just residential, but commercial companies, especially the big utilities. Aggressive investors, especially those with a long-term horizon, may want to carve out a percentage in their portfolio for a position in one or more of these top names.

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About the Author Trey Thoelcke →

Trey has been an editor and author at 24/7 Wall St. for more than a decade, where he has published thousands of articles analyzing corporate earnings, dividend stocks, short interest, insider buying, private equity, and market trends. His comprehensive coverage spans the full spectrum of financial markets, from blue-chip stalwarts to emerging growth companies.

Beyond 24/7 Wall St., Trey has created and edited financial content for Benzinga and AOL's BloggingStocks, contributing additional hundreds of articles to the investment community. He previously oversaw the 24/7 Climate Insights site, managing editorial operations and content strategy, and currently oversees and creates content for My Investing News.

Trey's editorial expertise extends across multiple publishing environments. He served as production editor at Dearborn Financial Publishing and development editor at Kaplan, where he helped shape financial education materials. Earlier in his career, he worked as a writer-producer at SVE. His freelance editing portfolio includes work for prestigious clients such as Sage Publications, Rand McNally, the Institute for Supply Management, the American Library Association, Eggplant Literary Productions, and Spiegel.

Outside of financial journalism, Trey writes fiction and has been an active member of the writing community for years, overseeing a long-running critique group and moderating workshop sessions at regional conventions. He lives with his family in an old house in the Midwest.

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