3 Energy MLPs That Can Survive the Wicked Downturn Without Raising Capital

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By Lee Jackson Updated Published
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3 Energy MLPs That Can Survive the Wicked Downturn Without Raising Capital

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There are two things now that are keeping many energy and income investors from buying master limited partnerships (MLPs) at today’s bargain basement prices: the threat of those MLPs having to cut their distribution, and the almost worst threat of them having to raise capital and add dilution into the mix.

In a recent report, Jefferies found three top companies that may be outstanding buys for investors as they don’t need to raise capital and could be somewhat insulated from further downward selling pressure. The energy sector in general is still under massive duress, but scaling in some capital to these solid companies could make sense at current levels.

Keep in mind that MLP distributions can contain return of capital.

AmeriGas Partners

This stock is a solid play on the propane industry. AmeriGas Partners L.P. (NYSE: APU) has the advantage of having a very large propane footprint. Propane usually trades at almost twice the price of spot natural gas. The consumer is often in rural or outlying areas where there is no major competition to speak of.

AmeriGas operates as a retail and wholesale distributor of propane gas and related equipment and supplies in the United States. It serves approximately 2 million residential, commercial, industrial, agricultural, wholesale and motor fuel customers in 50 states through approximately 2,500 propane distribution locations.
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The stock has been sold off pretty hard, and the Jefferies team still views this as a very solid buying opportunity. They also point out that unlike other MLPs, this company is not constantly going to the equity markets to raise capital, and that is a big plus for unitholders, given the current very difficult situation in the energy sector.

AmeriGas investors are paid a very rich 11.06% distribution. The Jefferies price objective for the stock is $52, and the Thomson/First Call consensus price target is $50. AmeriGas shares closed Monday’s trading at $33.26.
Enterprise Products Partners

This is one of the largest publicly traded partnerships and a leading North American provider of midstream energy services to producers and consumers. Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (NYSE: EPD) once again, despite the energy slump, just raised its distribution 1%. The company maintains a very good long-term position in the market. It provides many of its services on the basis of long-term, fixed-fee contracts, insulating against some of the wilder swings of the commodities that it trades in.

One reason why many analysts may have a liking for the stock might be its distribution coverage ratio. The company’s distribution coverage ratio is well above one times, making it relatively less risky among the MLPs. Enterprise Products Partners’ distributions have grown for several quarters and are expected to continue in 2016. Plus the Standard & Poor’s current rating is BBB+, which is investment grade, and the outlook is stable.

Investors are paid very solid 6.95% distribution. The Jefferies price target is $36, but the consensus target is higher at $38.70. Shares closed Monday at $22.16.

Spectra Energy Partners

This company has posted very solid earnings and looks to continue raising distributions. Spectra Energy Partners L.P. (NYSE: SEP) is one of the largest pipeline MLPs in the United States and connects growing supply areas to high-demand markets for natural gas, natural gas liquids and crude oil. These assets include more than 17,000 miles of transmission and gathering pipelines, approximately 170 billion cubic feet of natural gas storage and approximately 4.8 million barrels of crude oil storage.

Along with the solid second- and third-quarter earnings, the company declared a quarterly cash distribution to unitholders of $0.61375 per unit, an increase of 1.25 cents over the previous level of $0.60125 per unit back in August. This is the 31st consecutive quarter that Spectra Energy Partners has increased its quarterly cash distribution. The stock is also investment grade rated BBB with a stable outlook at S&P.

Spectra Energy investors receive a very solid 6.5% distribution. The consensus target price is $53.54. The shares closed Monday at $38.52.
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The Jefferies analysts have found three companies that could be outstanding additions to portfolios now. The last thing Wall Street wants to see from any MLPs now is a capital raise, because regardless of the need, the analysts and investors will view any raise with a very wary eye.

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About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.

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