The Case-Shiller housing price data is a lower-impact housing number because of the notion that the data is older than some other reports already on the market. This morning’s data for May 2009 did show a fourth month in a row of improvement, but prices are still dropping on a year-over-year basis. The reading came down by -17.1% in May for the 20-city reading and -16.8% for the 10-city index. If you compare May to April, there were 16 of 20 markets that were either flat or up. The 20-city index showed a reading of +0.5% sequentially from April, while the 10-city index showed a 0.4% gain sequentially.
Unfortunately, this is a rear view mirror read even for a lagging economic indicator. We saw new home sales data and prices for June yesterday, and this data from the Case-Shiller is from May. Again, this is like celebrating a birthday by taking a kid to pick out any gift of their choice…. at the dollar store.
JON C. OGG
JULY 28, 2009