Deutsche Bank Has 4 Utilities to Buy Into Earnings

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By Lee Jackson Published
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For almost three years, the boring and conservative utility stocks were among the best performing on Wall Street. Serving as bond proxies, they gave income investors a degree of safety and consistent income. A new report from Deutsche Bank not only says that comparisons with last year could be difficult, but the forward path is also not as bright as before.

The Deutsche Bank analysts still have a large coverage universe, and eight utility stocks are rated Buy. However, some have very little upside to the Deutsche Bank price objective. We screened the list for Buy-rated stocks with good upside to target levels. The four we chose are Calpine Corp. (NYSE: CPN), Dynegy Inc. (NYSE: DYN), Edison International (NYSE: EIX) and Exelon Corp. (NYSE: EXC).

Calpine

Calpine owns and operates primarily natural gas-fired and geothermal power plants in North America and has a significant presence in major competitive wholesale power markets in California, Texas and the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States. The company sells wholesale power, steam, capacity, renewable energy credits and ancillary services to its customers, which include utilities, independent electric system operators, industrial and agricultural companies, retail power providers, municipalities, power marketers and others.

The Deutsche Bank price target for the stock, which does not pay a dividend, is lowered to $28 from $31. The Thomson/First Call consensus price target is $25.38. Shares closed Wednesday at $22.63.

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Dynegy

This utility has nearly 26,000 megawatts of power generation capacity and two retail electricity companies. Dynegy is capable of supplying 20 million homes with safe, reliable and economic energy. Homefield Energy and Dynegy Energy Services are retail electricity providers serving businesses and residents in Illinois.

Some Wall Street analysts expect that Dynegy may be able to achieve a stellar 12% free-cash-flow per share compounded annual growth rate over the next five years. There is also a possibility of a share buyback worth $1.7 billion during 2015 to 2019, at the present commodity prices, or about 40% of the company’s current market cap. The expected outstanding earnings may be driven by merger synergies and share buybacks, even if there is no improvement in commodity prices.

The Deutsche Bank price target is raised to $43 from $41, and the consensus estimate is at $39.06. The stock closed Wednesday at $33.28 a share.

Edison International

Back in December, Edison International raised the quarterly dividend paid to shareholders by 17.6%, and another increase could be on the map for this year. That signals a strong commitment to shareholders. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, diesel, natural gas, gas fueled, combustion turbine, nuclear and photovoltaic sources. It supplies electricity primarily to residential, commercial, industrial, agricultural and other customers, as well as public authorities through transmission and distribution networks.

Edison investors are paid a 2.77% dividend. The UBS price objective is $69, and the consensus target is $69.88. The stock closed Wednesday at $60.01.

Exelon

The nation’s leading competitive energy provider had 2014 revenues of approximately $27.4 billion. Headquartered in Chicago, Exelon does business in 48 states, the District of Columbia and Canada. Exelon is one of the largest competitive U.S. power generators, with approximately 32,500 megawatts of owned capacity comprising one of the nation’s cleanest and lowest-cost power generation fleets.

The company’s Constellation business unit provides energy products and services to more than 2.5 million residential, public sector and business customers, including more than two-thirds of the Fortune 100. Exelon’s utilities deliver electricity and natural gas to more than 7.8 million customers in central Maryland, northern Illinois and southeastern Pennsylvania.

Exelon investors are paid a very respectable 3.75% dividend. Deutsche Bank puts a $42 price target on the stock, down from $43. The consensus target is $38, and the stock closed Wednesday at $33.11.

ALSO READ: 5 Cheap Large Cap Stocks to Buy in an Expensive Stock Market

The game is close to over for the utility trade, as evidenced by the fact that two of the Deutsche Bank stocks with the biggest upside pay no dividend. That said, the longer the Federal Reserve delays raising interest rates, the longer the string can play out.

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About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.

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