Goldman Sachs Research Notes (JAN 23, 2007)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Goldman Sachs maintained its Buy/Attractive rating on Research-in-Motion (RIMM); stock 1% (mixed analyst calls elsewhere in the stock). The firm cites carriers making 5 times to 6 times the money over other PDA phone models off of subscribers, so they are willing to subsidize the RIM Phones; RIM also experienced pricing power over other models in an otherwise weak environment.

Qualcomm (QCOM) was Reiterated a Buy/Attractive with $1.63 EPS for 2007 & $1.94 EPS in 2008; sees earnings ok and it thinks the market is pricing in 2 unlikely scenarios of a decline in CDMA markets and a decline in th royalty rate to 1% instead of an estimated 4.1%.

Goldman Sachs has raised the HOUSING SECTOR to NEUTRAL, but the call says it is because of inadequate risks to reward in being short at this point.  It thinks the downward trajectory is slowing, but fundamentals in the industry are troubling.  It has raised DR Horton (DHI), MDC Holdings (MDC), and Toll Brothers (TOL) to BUY Ratings; Downgrades Lennar (LEN) and M/I Homes both to a sell rating.

Goldman has Unisys (UIS) trading down 5% on a downgrade to a SELL rating based on weak prospects tied to IBM weakness and they are trimming estimates ahead of this week’s earnings.

Performance Food Group (PFGC) was maintained as BUY and noted as one of their best 2007 investment ideas; advise buying PFGC with 21% potential upside to its nearly $34 price target.

Gap Inc (GPS) still maintained as SELL/NEUTRAL at Goldman as a new CEO will need great vision and an ability to attract top talent; it also notes the same customer disconnect and the time needed for reconnecting to them.

Citigroup (C) maintained neutral at Goldman Sachs, but it has raised 2007 EPS targets to $4.60 from $4.56 and 2008 EPS targets to $5.10 from $5.05 after in-line results.  It feels credit quality is benign with only modest deterioration, while net interest margin was flat.

It also says that UnitedHealth (UNH) results are trending the industry to strength in Medicare being offset by slower commercial results; it expects little upside or downside in the industry.

Cytokinetics (CYTK) maintained Sell/Neutral on promotion of CEO.

Cooper Companies (COO) maintained Buy/Attractive after recent weakness after debt refinancing.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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