Intel: Earnings Taking Stock to $27.50 or $25.00? (INTC, NVLS, AMD, SMH)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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After today’s close we’ll get to see earnings out of processor giant Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC).  Wall Street estimates out of First Call put expectations at $0.19 EPS and $8.54 Billion.  Intel shares are up more than 1% ahead of eranings, and anything above $26.04 on the day is an 18-month high.

The average buy target from Wall Street is north of $27.50.  Options activity and influence will depend on the news, but Intel shares are nestled right in between strike prices with options expiring this Friday.  In theory, that could cause either the $27.50 or $25.00 strike prices to act as a magnet with those being the nearest strike prices.  Options trading in Intel could be a huge run of volume and it won’t be surprising at all if Intel trades more than 100 million shares tomorrow.  With shares at 18-month highs, any additional strength should be considered a further break-out pattern by technicians.

Even a somewhat tepid outlook with hopes of more from Novellus Systems (NASDAQ:NVLS) last night isn’t managing to put an end to tech stocks and their subsequent rally we have seen.  There is quite a bit of hope ahead of the keystone industry event Semicon West in San Francisco.  There are hopes that Novellus will get some upward revisions based on other sectors in chip-land, and those hopes are what is keeping the chip-equipment sector up today.

Even the Semiconductor HOLDRs (NYSE:SMH) are trading up more than 1% on the day ahead of Intel’s earnings.  Intel usually offers guidance, so here is the important data: Q3 $0.27 EPS and revenues $9.36 Billion; Fiscal DEC-2007 $1.08 EPS and $37 Billion in revenues.  Intel’s rival Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE:AMD) reports earnings Thursday, and you can bet that the action in Intel will have some impact on the perception of AMD.

Jon C. Ogg
July 17, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at [email protected]; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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