eBay Guidance Deemed Conservative? (EBAY)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY) posted earnings of $0.34 non-GAAP EPS on $1.83 Billion in revenues, compared to estimates from First Call of $0.32 EPS & $1.78 Billion revenues. The company also gave us guidance, and based on the reaction Wall Street is deeming this as somewhat conservative: Q3 non-GAAP EPS $0.31 to $0.33 on revenues of $1.775 Billion to $1.825 billion; Fiscal 2007 non-GAAP EPS $1.34 to $1.38 and revenues $7.3 to $7.45 Billion. 

ESTIMATES: First Call estimates $0.32 EPS and $1.79 Billion revenues.  Fiscal 2007 estimates are $1.34 EPS & $7.4 Billion in revenues.  If the company gives a 2008 internal business plan, the street has $1.58 EPS and $8.7 Billion, and that translates to a forward 18% EPS growth and 17.5% revenue growth.

The company purchased approximately 10 million shares of its common stock at a total cost of approximately $344 million during the quarter out of its authorized stock repurchase program of up to $2 billion by January 2009.  eBay’s users posted a total of 559 million listings in Q2-07, 6% lower than the 596 million listings posted in Q2-06; Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) of $14.46 billion in Q2-07, representing a 12% year-over-year increase from the $12.90 billion reported in Q2-06.  The company also noted that Skype continues to grow rapidly and posted another quarter of profitability.

eBay shares are up less than 1% at $34.35 after a few minutes of after-hours trading, although shares were up more than 2% briefly.  We’ll have to see how the "valuation calls" work out tomorrow morning.

Jon C. Ogg
July 18, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at [email protected]; he does not own securities in the companies he covers. 

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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