Bets of a Higher Price for SkillSoft (SKIL)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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SkillSoft plc (NASDAQ: SKIL) may seem like an unusual buyout candidate for a private equity group.  The company offers on-demand distance-learning over the web or teleconference and performance support solutions for large enterprise groups, government agencies, education, and small to mid-sized businesses.  Shares are up this morning after an investor group including Berkshire Partners LLC, Advent International Corporation and Bain Capital Partners have agreed to pay $10.80 per share in cash for the company.

The company has reached an agreement on the terms of a recommended acquisition and shareholders will receive $10.80 in cash for each ordinary share or for each ADR.  Effectively, this is a $1.1 billion deal. The acquisition has been unanimously approved by SkillSoft’s Board of Directors and a committee of independent directors, and the Board intends to recommend to SkillSoft shareholders to vote in favor of the acquisition.

But some are hoping for or expecting a higher share price than the $10.80 per share.  At 10:00 AM EST we have shares trading at $11.08 and the range for the trading day is $11.07 to $11.21.  This is not being traded on thin volume either because we have seen 15+ million shares trade hands versus an average of only 240,000 share.

This is effectively a 5-Year high on the stock, but the ADRs traded above $20 back in 2001 and even above $40 in 2000 and back in 1998.  The stock is not very actively followed by analysts, but Thomson Reuters has Jan-2011 fiscal estimates at $0.74 and $320.18 million in revenues.  That $10.80 buyout price effectively represents forward multiples of 14.6-times earnings and over 3.4-times revenues.

SkillSoft will remain headquartered in Dublin, Ireland and will continue to be led by the current management team.  The buyout group represents that this is a 26% premium to the average closing price over the year ended on February 11 and represents a 49% premium to the average closing price of SkillSoft’s ADS over the five-year period ended on February 11, 2010.

The bet is on… Some shareholders will be happy with the price here now.  But some are not, or at least there are millions and millions of shares betting that the stock purchase price will be higher than $10.80.

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JON C. OGG
FEBRUARY 12, 2010

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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