The Facebook Paradox: If A Stock’s Value is Cut in Half … (FB, ZNGA, GRPN, LNKD)

Photo of Paul Ausick
By Paul Ausick Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

courtesy Facebook Inc.
Shares of Facebook Inc. (NASDAQ: FB) have now lost 50% of their value since the company’s March IPO. If you believe the Greek philosopher Zeno, this halving can go on indefinitely, but never reach a point where the value is zero. Perhaps that’s some comfort.

A scathing post on The New York Times Dealbook blog by Andrew Ross Sorkin lays the blame for Facebook’s catastrophic IPO and the stock’s ensuing price collapse squarely at the feet of the company’s CFO, David Ebersman:

[Ebersman] — almost alone — pushed to flood the market with 25 percent more shares than originally planned in the final days before the offering. And since then, as the point person for investors, he has done little to articulate how or why the company’s strategy will lift the stock price any time soon. … Facebook’s falling stock price is not just a problem for investors; it is quickly creating real questions inside the company about its ability to retain and attract talented engineers, the lifeblood of any technology company.

Whether Sorkin’s fault-finding is correct is at least arguable. Certainly founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg might at least share in the blame. It’s no secret that he wanted to lay claim to a $100 billion IPO.

Whatever. But there’s no denying that with shares currently trading below $18, Facebook is not the darling it was in those heady pre-IPO days. Share prices at social game maker Zynga Inc. (NASDAQ: ZNGA) and daily deal site Groupon Inc. (NASDAQ: GRPN) have suffered even more and Facebook investors have to begin to wonder if the social network’s shares are headed for the 80% declines that have hit the other big social media companies.

Only LinkedIn Corp. (NYSE: LNKD) has dodged the huge declines, instead posting a gain of about 138% since the company’s IPO in May 2011. How long LinkedIn can keep that up is a serious questions. The company’s forward P/E is 81.75, a level that could easily be considered over-valued.

Facebook’s shares are currently trading at $17.75 after posting a new post-IPO low of $17.55 earlier.

Shares of Zynga are down about 3.2% at $2.71, just above the low end of the 52-week range of $2.66-$15.91.

Groupon’s shares are trading down 2.4% at $4.05 after falling to a new post-IPO low of $4.00 earlier. The prior range was $4.12-$31.14.

LinkedIn’s shares are off 0.2% at $107.11 in a 52-week range of $55.98-$120.63.

Paul Ausick

Photo of Paul Ausick
About the Author Paul Ausick →

Paul Ausick has been writing for a673b.bigscoots-temp.com for more than a decade. He has written extensively on investing in the energy, defense, and technology sectors. In a previous life, he wrote technical documentation and managed a marketing communications group in Silicon Valley.

He has a bachelor's degree in English from the University of Chicago and now lives in Montana, where he fishes for trout in the summer and stays inside during the winter.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618