GE Stock Still Cannot Return to Level of Jack Welch Era

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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General Electric Co.’s (NYSE: GE) new earnings were treated with great enthusiasm, which pushed its stock higher by almost 5% in one day. Management and the board, however, must be haunted by the fact that, since famous CEO Jack Welch left, GE’s shares are down more than 40%, and the S&P is more than 40% higher. No matter what current CEO Jeff Immelt does, the market has continued to be against him.

GE attempts to put a good face on Immelt’s tenure. Barron’s has named him one of its “World’s Best CEOs” three times. And Immelt chairs President Obama’s Council on Jobs and Competitiveness, a job that almost has to be a distraction to the head of a global company that is barely growing, in the years it is not shrinking.

GE reported that in the second quarter, earnings were down 11% to $3.3 billion. Revenue was off 4% to $35.1 billion. Revenue at its big power and water unit dropped 17% to $5.7 billion. Revenue at its health care division was flat at $4.5 billion. And aviation division revenue, the one bright spot, was up 9% to $5.3 billion. The numbers were lackluster, as they have been for several years, and GE can no longer blame the recession.

In a historical context, the numbers are particularly poor. Five years ago, GE’s revenue was $185.2 billion. In the most recent trailing 12 months that number has dropped to $147.3 billion. Earnings have fallen from $17.4 billion to $14.1 billion on the same basis. There is no amount of public relations effort of analysis that can explain the away.

Immelt’s comments on the results from Q2 were:

We executed in a business environment that was slightly improved versus the first quarter. Emerging markets remain resilient, and in the U.S. we saw strong growth in orders this quarter. Europe is stabilizing but still challenged. We expect margin expansion to continue and segment profits to grow in the second half of the year.

It might have been better if he admitted that he and his management have made no progress, and that the situation probably will not improve. Immelt is 57, after all, which means he could hold his job for almost another 10 years.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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