4 Stocks Likely to Fall Hard During a Correction

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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The stock market has enjoyed quite a bullish ride over the past five years. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 71% and the S&P 500 increased 95% during this time, and it has risen far more than that since the March of 2009 lows. The stocks of some companies have also really performed well over the past five years pushing their price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios (if they have one) into the stratosphere.

The stock prices of these companies will most likely fall the hardest during a correction. Investors eyeing the high valuation tend to get trigger happy with the sell button at the slightest amount of bad news. Let’s take a look at some of these stocks below.

Amazon.com

Shares of online retailer Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) increased a whopping 313%, versus 95% for the S&P 500 over the past five years. Currently the company has no calculable P/E ratio due to its loss in 2014. Its net income history is spotty, and its free cash flow reading is a roller coaster, as the company invests in its infrastructure to expand. Trading at $535.00, Amazon has a 52-week range of $284.00 to $580.57. Its consensus analyst target price is $650 or so.

ALSO READ: 6 Analyst Stocks Called to Rise 50% or More

Chipotle Mexican Grill

Fast casual Mexican restaurant chain Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (NYSE: CMG) saw its shares expand 398%, versus 95% for the S&P 500 as a whole. Chipotle Mexican Grill’s P/E ratio clocks in at a sky-high 46 times earnings. The company saw its revenue, net income and free cash flow increase steadily since 2008. At $749.50, Chipotle has a consensus analyst target price of $745.82 and a 52-week range of $597.33 to $758.61.

Netflix

Online streaming company Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) saw its shares increase 553%, versus 95% for the S&P 500 as a whole. Netflix’s P/E ratio resides at an astounding 272 times earnings. Moreover, the company has not been free cash flow positive since 2011. At $124.25 on a post-split basis, Netflix has a consensus analyst target price of $116.85 and a 52-week range of $45.08 to $129.29.

Google (or Alphabet)

Technology conglomerate Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) saw its shares expand 202%, versus 95% for the S&P 500. The company sports the lowest valuation in this group at 33. Google saw its revenue and net income rise steadily for the past decade. Its free cash flow rose steadily until 2012 when a huge increase in capital expenditures broke the streak. Trading at $687.00, Google has a consensus price target of about $757.00 and its 52-week range is $490.91 to $713.33.

ALSO READ: Jefferies Raises Price Targets on 3 Top Growth Stocks to Buy Now

Soaring stock prices, high valuations and in some cases spotty fundamentals all serve as a recipe for a massive bloodbath of a correction for these stocks. Investors beware.

William Bias owns shares in Chipotle Mexican Grill.

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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