5 Reasons To Avoid Amazon Stock (AMZN) At All Costs

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By Lee Jackson Updated Published
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5 Reasons To Avoid Amazon Stock (AMZN) At All Costs

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Founded in 1994 by Jeff Bezos in his garage, Amazon blazed new technology trails.

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The company that started as an online marketplace for books, music, and video sales has evolved into a store with everything. In addition, that company started from humble beginnings and has grown massively over the last almost 30 years to become a multinational technology company focused on e-commerce, cloud computing, online advertising, digital streaming, and artificial intelligence.

While disregarded at first by many across Wall Street, Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN | AMZN Price Prediction) has exploded into one of the biggest technology companies in the world. Revenue has skyrocketed over the last 20 years as online sales exploded with the advent of Amazon Prime in February of 2005, and the company’s cloud computing division, Amazon Web Services, became the go-to venue to be in the cloud.

What could go wrong? With so much positive traction and an adoring group of sell-side analysts across Wall Street, what could go wrong for the technology behemoth? We took a deep dive inside the company and found five reasons investors may want to tap the brakes on the technology giant.

Amazon stock is expensive

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Trading at a massive 77.4 times trailing 2023 earnings, investors are paying a pretty penny for the shares at current levels. While investors have become used to the sky-high multiples the stock has carried over the years, as the PE ratio over the last ten years is a stunning 196.66, growth can slow at any time, making the nosebleed multiple even less desirable.

The competition is knocking on the door

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Whether retail sales or cloud computing, the competition is constantly after Amazon. Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) is hot on its heels for cloud computing. In addition, online retailing, giants like Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) and many others compete directly with Amazon.

Profits could drop big if the economy goes south

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While the cloud business may not suffer as much, the massive retail silo could take a huge hit if the economy suffers a slowdown in 2024. With economists anticipating a significant drop in gross domestic product next year and the potential for a recession still in place, this could be challenging for the company.

Like other big technology stocks, Amazon has faced intense scrutiny

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From data privacy to antitrust concerns and sketchy labor practices, Amazon has faced numerous regulatory issues over the years here and abroad. Many feel that the company needs to tackle these problems to avoid legal issues and a tarnished reputation.

Cybersecurity could be among the biggest challenges facing Amazon

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With millions of customers daily and tens of millions of transactions processed on any given day, a massive cybersecurity breach could be dreadful for the company. Not only could the retail silo get crushed, but an attack on AWS could prove monumental if it was severe enough.

The bottom line for investors is reasonably easy to see. Like many top technology leaders, the shares are costly and have run up big this year. While Amazon has always traded at a huge multiple, it may make sense to see if the shares don’t back up some later this month or early in 2024, especially after trading 75% higher over the last year and sitting currently just below a 52-week high.

 

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About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.

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