Keysight Technologies (KEYS): Q2 FY25 Earnings Live Coverage
Key Points
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Strong rebound: stock up 23% in May after 4 consecutive EPS beats.
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EPS expected to grow 17% YoY on modest 5% revenue gain.
Live Updates
Guidance Upgrade Validates Execution Strength
Heading into the release, we highlighted that expectations were stable but not euphoric, with some concern about uneven macro indicators. The above-consensus Q2 revenue and EPS, combined with the raised full-year growth forecast, directly address these concerns. With $1.70 in non-GAAP EPS, the company beat not just the street’s $1.65 estimate, but also reinforced margin strength across both divisions.
Importantly, Keysight lifted its FY revenue growth expectations toward the midpoint of its long-term 5–7% CAGR — a subtle but powerful vote of confidence amid tech-sector earnings volatility. The stock is up 3.75% after-hours.
Above-Guidance Beat with Raised Full-Year Outlook
Keysight Technologies reported Q2 2025 results ahead of expectations, lifting its full-year outlook and reinforcing confidence in its multi-segment strategy. Revenue reached $1.31 billion, up 7% year over year and exceeding the high end of guidance. Non-GAAP EPS landed at $1.70, topping consensus estimates of $1.65.
GAAP net income more than doubled to $257 million ($1.49 per share) from $126 million ($0.72 per share) in the year-ago period. Free cash flow surged to $457 million, up sharply from $74 million last year, driven by operating margin expansion and tight cost discipline.
By segment, Communications Solutions Group posted $913 million in revenue (+9% YoY), while Electronic Industrial Solutions Group delivered $393 million (+5%). Management raised FY25 growth guidance to the midpoint of its long-term 5–7% range, citing robust demand across commercial and aerospace verticals.
How the stock performed after recent earnings reports
| Quarter | EPS Actual | EPS Est. | Surprise | Stock Reaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | $1.69 | +$0.13 | +4.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.65 | $1.57 | +$0.08 | +2.3% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.57 | $1.35 | +$0.22 | +5.6% |
| Q2 2024 | $1.41 | $1.39 | +$0.02 | +1.5% |
Cautious Optimism Returns
short interest in KEYS sits near 1.3% of float, down from earlier this year, signaling that bearish bets have been unwound as the stock rallied +20% in the past month. The sentiment has improved but remains tepid: many analysts are neutral-to-positive, with few strong buy convictions. Options flow shows a tilt toward moderate upside (calls clustered around $170–$180), and institutional accumulation has resumed.
The stock still trades at a discount to peers like Teradyne and Ansys on forward P/E — a setup that could offer upside if margins and backlog trends confirm a bottoming cycle.
AI and Defense Lead a Gradual Rebuild
Keysight’s last two calls have signaled cautious optimism. CEO Satish Dhanasekaran stressed that the company is seeing “early signs of recovery,” particularly in wireline AI infrastructure, aerospace/defense, and semiconductor R&D. Orders improved for the second straight quarter — a key reversal from early 2024 softness.
Management was bullish on AI’s role in boosting test demand across data center, chip, and comms networks. KEYS also touted wins with hyperscalers and European defense integrators, and emphasized strength in its EDA software portfolio, including traction from its ESI acquisition. CFO Neil Dougherty reiterated their 5–7% long-term revenue growth goal, with operating leverage returning as the backlog clears.
“AI is driving a broadening wave of investment — and we are positioned across every layer of that stack.”
AI and Aerospace Keeping the Engine Running
On the last earnings call and at investor events, KEYS highlighted strength in wireline infrastructure testing tied to AI data center expansion. AI-driven buildouts across hyperscalers have fueled demand for 400G–800G protocol test equipment. Meanwhile, aerospace and defense remain a stabilizing force, with European and U.S. demand holding steady and RF/microwave systems seeing new contract flow.
The wireless testing business remains in “stability” mode, with no major 5G ramp underway and early 6G research still pre-revenue. One standout development is Keysight’s growth in design software and digital twins, especially for vehicle and defense platforms. Management also flagged new traction for its ESI simulation tools in aerospace — a business acquired in 2023 and now spreading across verticals.
Keysight Technologies (NYSE: KEY | KEYS Price PredictionS) stock has rebounded sharply into earnings, up +23% in the past month but only +1.2% YTD, recovering from March lows. For fiscal Q2, analysts expect EPS of $1.65 on $1.28 billion in revenue, representing 17% EPS growth and 5.4% top-line growth year-over-year.
EPS surprise history is strong: four consecutive beats, including a 16.6% beat last Q2. FY25 EPS is expected at $7.01, up nearly 12% YoY. While demand signals have been muted across industrial and telco verticals, KEYS may benefit from strength in aerospace/defense and automotive. Bulls will look for stabilization ahead of a potential 6G and EV test equipment cycle recovery in 2H 2025.
Test Equipment Caught Between Cycles
Keysight sits at the nexus of multiple industrial tech markets — from 5G/6G wireless, to automotive radar, to aerospace/defense — all of which have been volatile in 2024 and early 2025. Semiconductor capex softness has weighed on peers like Teradyne and National Instruments, while military budgets and EV R&D have provided some support.
Supply chains have normalized, but test equipment orders tend to lag R&D spend. Industry watchers view KEYS as a late-cycle play: revenue contraction bottomed in Q4 2024, and the setup into 2H 2025 depends on telco capex normalization and defense contract conversion. Any signs of rebound would validate the stock’s recent move higher.
Joel South covers large-cap stocks, dividend investing, and major market trends, with a focus on earnings analysis, valuation, and turning complex data into actionable insights for investors.
He brings more than 15 years of experience as an investor and financial journalist, including 12 years at The Motley Fool, where he served as an investment analyst, Bureau Chief, and later led the Fool.com investing news desk. He has also co-hosted an investing podcast and appeared across TV and radio discussing market trends.
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