Lululemon’s 50% Decline May Be Over as Reddit Sentiment Shifts To “Buy Now”

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By Michael Williams Published

Quick Read

  • Lululemon (LULU) trades at 14x forward earnings after falling 50% to $192.47.

  • Lululemon beat Q3 estimates with $2.59 EPS and $2.57B revenue. BTIG maintains a $303 price target.

  • Nike (NKE) declined 11% over the past year but stabilized with 1.5% year-to-date gains.

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Lululemon’s 50% Decline May Be Over as Reddit Sentiment Shifts To “Buy Now”

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Shares of Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU | LULU Price Prediction) are trading at $192.47 after a brutal 50% decline over the past year, but retail investors on Reddit and X are signaling a shift in sentiment. Recent data shows social sentiment climbing to 73 out of 100, up sharply from neutral readings of 50-58 just days earlier.

The catalyst is e a combination of factors: the company beat Q3 earnings estimates with $2.59 in EPS and $2.57 billion in revenue, analysts at BTIG reiterated a Buy rating with a $303 price target, and a product crisis involving see-through leggings was resolved when the “Get Low” line returned to online sales on January 22.

Retail Traders Are Turning Bullish on Lululemon

Social media discussions have shifted noticeably over the past week. The general tone among retail investors has moved from skepticism to cautious optimism. And there are real reasons for this shift in sentiment:

  • Lululemon trades at just 14x forward earnings, a steep discount to its historical valuation
  • The company maintains strong fundamentals with 55.6% gross margins and 15.7% profit margins
  • Analyst consensus price target of $210 implies 9% upside from current levels
 

Trading Activity and What Comes Next

Peer Nike (NYSE:NKE) is down 11% over the past year but has stabilized recently, up 1.5% year-to-date, suggesting the athletic apparel sector may be finding a floor. For Lululemon investors, the key catalysts to watch include the upcoming CEO transition and whether activist investor Elliott Management pushes for operational changes. The stock has declined 50% over the past year, reflecting significant pressure on the athletic apparel sector, but if execution improves and the product quality issues stay resolved, retail traders betting on a rebound may be onto something.

Photo of Michael Williams
About the Author Michael Williams →

I am a long time investor and student of business, and believe finding good companies that can become great investments is the best game on earth. After 20 years of writing and researching the public markets it is clear that individuals have never had more tools and information to take control of their financial lives. From ETFs and $0 commissions to cryptos and prediction markets there has never been a greater democratization of access to investing. 

I write to help people understand the investments available to them so they can make the best choice for their portfolio, whether they're starting out or looking for income in retirement. 

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