Zynga Delivers A Tad Ahead… Is It Good Enough? (ZNGA)

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By Jon C. Ogg Updated Published
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Zynga
Zynga, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZNGA) has reported its first corporate earnings report since coming public this year.  The social gaming company has reported earnings of $0.06 EPS and $329 million in revenue.  Thomson Reuters had estimates of $0.05 EPS on $317.25 million in revenue.  On a GAAP basis including the IPO costs Zynga would have lost on earnings at -$0.12 EPS.

The guidance for 2012 is as follows: Bookings are projected to be in the range of $1.425 billion to $1.5 billion, with most growth weighted in the second half.  Full year 2012 non-GAAP EPS of $0.23 to $0.29.  Thomson Reuters has revenue projections of $1.42 billion and non-GAAP earnings of $0.27 EPS.

The company talked up its record bookings at $329 million for a 15% gain.  New game development drove down its EBITDA by 23% to $87 million on an adjusted basis. Daily active users have risen from 62 million in the first quarter  of 2011 to 65 million in the first quarter of 2012, for a gain of 6%.  Monthly active users have risen from 236 million in the first quarter of 2011 up to 292 million in the first quarter of 2012, for a gain of 24%.

We were not sure how Zynga would offer up guidance, but here is what the company offered up as additional 2012 outlook figures beyond the above guidance:

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $400 million to $450 million.
  • Cap-ex of $390 million to $410 million, including its headquarters purchase.
  • Effective non-GAAP tax rate of 25% to 30%.
  • Non-GAAP weighted-average diluted shares outstanding of about 880 million shares in the fourth quarter of 2012.

Zynga closed up 3.4% at $9.42 and the stock is up 1.6% at $9.57 in the after-hours session reaction.  Zynga is still trading as a busted IPO in the classic sense of the term.  Today’s numbers are not exactly blowout figures and the guidance seems mostly in-line with estimates for the year.  We also have a hard time trusting that the increases will be back-end loaded considering that the company has no history to refer back to as a trust factor.

This may be good enough for some investors but this is not a screaming buy as far as we can see without hearing the conference call as of yet.

JON C. OGG

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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