Is Walmart Fully Valued Going Into Earnings?

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By Jon C. Ogg Published
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Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) is set to report earnings this Thursday. The retail behemoth is expected to post $1.15 in earnings per share (versus $1.14 a year ago) on less than a 2% revenue gain to $116.25 billion.

The real question is what the retail giant projects as its own economic indicator. With newer management and a focus on niche store growth now, Walmart isn’t expensive at all. But it isn’t exactly dirt cheap either. With shares trading around $79, Walmart’s stock is valued at 14.9 times this year’s expected earnings per share.

Walmart’s dividend yield is 2.4%. It seems almost certain that a dividend hike is not coming for another six months or so, as its second straight $0.48 dividend per share was just paid out last week.

Zacks Investment Research represented on Monday that of the 43 retail sector S&P 500 index components, 22 have already reported earnings, and that total earnings have so far only been up by 3.1% on 6.3% higher revenues. Zacks showed that only 36.1% of them beat earnings estimates, but a respectable 45.5% have been ahead of revenue expectations. Zacks further said:

The remaining 21 retailers are expected to -2.1% lower earnings from the same period last year. Wal-Mart and Macy’s total earnings are expected to be little changed from the year-earlier level.

Perhaps the big story is in Walmart’s chart. Resistance was strong in the $80 area in 2013, and $79 has been a period of resistance in the past month or two. That also coincides with where the stock is trading now.

With its shares trading around $79, Walmart’s 52-week trading range is $71.51 to $81.37. Thomson Reuters has a consensus analyst price target of $81.00 on the stock, and the highest price target is up at $87.00.

READ MORE: Warren Buffett’s Nine Top Dividend Stocks

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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