Chipotle Earnings Not Hot Enough to Satisfy Investors

Photo of Chris Lange
By Chris Lange Updated Published
This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

Chipotle logoChipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (NYSE: CMG) released its first-quarter financial results Tuesday after the markets closed. The burrito purveyor had $3.88 in earnings per share (EPS) on $1.09 billion in revenue, compared to Thomson Reuters consensus estimates of $3.66 in EPS on $1.11 billion in revenue. The same period from the previous year had $2.64 EPS on $904.16 million in revenue.

The burrito giant gave its outlook for the 2015 full year as 190 to 205 new restaurant openings and low-to-mid single-digit comparable restaurant sales increases.

Comparable restaurant sales growth (10.4%) was driven in the first quarter by a nationwide price increase that was fully rolled out during the second quarter of last year, and increased traffic played a role in growth but to a lesser extent.

Food costs made up roughly one-third of revenue (33.9%), a decrease of 60 basis points, and benefited from the price increase. However the benefit was partially offset by an increase in beef and tortilla costs compared with the first quarter of 2014.

ALSO READ: Has Yum Brands Finally Turned Around Its Earnings?

During the first quarter the burrito restaurant chain opened 49 new locations, bringing the total count of Chipotle restaurants to 1,831.

Steve Ells, founder, chairman and co-CEO of Chipotle, said:

We are very proud of our start to 2015, as our average sales volumes reached a record $2.5 million per restaurant. We attribute this success to our unique food culture and people culture, which are the driving forces to create a new fast food model. The quarter was not without its challenges however, as we suspended one of our primary pork suppliers and are exploring options to increase the supply of pork that meets our high standards. But we remain confident that higher quality, Responsibly Raised® ingredients taste better and will continue to resonate with our customers.

Note that Chipotle currently trades at a multiple of 40 to expected 2015 earnings, as of Tuesday’s close. This could be one reason why the stock is responding poorly. Also, investors are expecting Chipotle to continue to demolish quarters like it has in the past.

Looking at the stock year-to-date, Chipotle is only marginally up (less than 1%), but within the past full year the stock is up 32%.

Shares of Chipotle closed Tuesday up 0.8% at $692.52. Following the release of the earnings report, shares were down 4.6% at $660.40 in after-hours trading. The stock has a consensus analyst price target of $745.88 and a 52-week trading range of $472.41 to $727.97.

ALSO READ: How Much Do Companies Really Have to Worry About Bird Flu?

Photo of Chris Lange
About the Author Chris Lange →

Chris Lange is a writer for 24/7 Wall St., based in Houston. He has covered financial markets over the past decade with an emphasis on healthcare, tech, and IPOs. During this time, he has published thousands of articles with insightful analysis across these complex fields. Currently, Lange's focus is on military and geopolitical topics.

Lange's work has been quoted or mentioned in Forbes, The New York Times, Business Insider, USA Today, MSN, Yahoo, The Verge, Vice, The Intelligencer, Quartz, Nasdaq, The Motley Fool, Fox Business, International Business Times, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Barron’s, Benzinga, and many other major publications.

A graduate of Southwestern University in Georgetown, Texas, Lange majored in business with a particular focus on investments. He has previous experience in the banking industry and startups.

Featured Reads

Our top personal finance-related articles today. Your wallet will thank you later.

Continue Reading

Top Gaining Stocks

CBOE Vol: 1,568,143
PSKY Vol: 12,285,993
STX Vol: 7,378,346
ORCL Vol: 26,317,675
DDOG Vol: 6,247,779

Top Losing Stocks

LKQ
LKQ Vol: 4,367,433
CLX Vol: 13,260,523
SYK Vol: 4,519,455
MHK Vol: 1,859,865
AMGN Vol: 3,818,618