Shoplifting and Fraud Cause Retailer Losses of $44 Billion

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Fraud and shoplifting cost the retail industry $44 billion last year. That is almost twice the annual revenue of retailer Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M). While shoplifting is the largest part of the loss, employee theft is second. Retailers are having trouble protecting themselves from their own workers.

According to study results released by the National Retail Federation (NRF), “retailers say inventory shrink averaged 1.38 percent of retail sales, or $44 billion, in 2014.”

Further, the National Retail Federation/University of Florida National Retail Security Survey showed:

Specifically, retailers surveyed estimate that shoplifting accounted for the largest part of reported shrink in 2014 — 38 percent, followed by employee/internal theft (34.5%), administrative and paperwork errors (16.5%), vendor fraud or error (6.8%) and unknown loss (6.1%).

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While the industry has taken the problem seriously, some retailers have done little to improve their security. NRF Vice President of Loss Prevention Bob Moraca said:

A common misperception about shoplifting is that retailers can “afford” the loss of a candy bar or a pair of jeans, but the truth is that the industry loses billions of dollars each year at the hands of callous criminals that could be put towards human capital, promotions and other necessary business operations. Though we are encouraged by the partnerships forged with law enforcement over the years and advances in technology that will help deter a crime before it happens, criminals continue to thwart much of the progress retailers have made thus far.

But:

When it comes to loss prevention budgets, 39.4 percent of those surveyed say their budget for 2015 increased over last year; just over one-third (36.6%) said their budgets would be similar to what they were last year — leaving 23.9 percent of respondents with decreased resources.

It is hard to fathom why any retailer would drop its investment in preventing losses. Maybe the cost of the protection is more than the cost of losses, for some portion of the industry. If so, the NRF has not highlighted that possibility.

Methodology: The National Retail Security Survey is a survey of loss prevention executives that benchmarks retail shrinkage and operational information about how retailers are combating losses. The study, which surveyed 100 senior loss prevention executives from various sectors in retail in March and April 2015, is a partnership between the University of Florida and the National Retail Federation.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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