Blue Apron Can Survive If CEO Dickerson Leaves

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Blue Apron Can Survive If CEO Dickerson Leaves

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Blue Apron Holdings Inc. (NYSE: APRN) shares have dropped 80% in the past year and trade as a penny stock at $0.90 a share. CEO Bradley Dickerson took over in November 2017. As long as he holds onto his job at a company he has nearly ruined, investors won’t regain confidence in the company, if that happens at all.

Dickerson’s most significant move is that he laid off 4% of the company’s workforce last month and said that Blue Apron would sharpen its focus. He said he would be “sharpening focus on direct-to-consumer business,” growing “consumer reach through retail channels” and “further optimizing (its) fulfillment center network.” It was not clear what any of that means. However, in sum, they would make Blue Apron profitable on an adjusted EBITDA basis next year.

On the tail of the announcement of changes, Blue Apron reported another horrible quarter. Revenue fell from $211 million in the third quarter of 2017 to $151 million in the most recent quarter. The company’s operating loss did improve from $87 million to $34 million, but the number of customers dropped from 856,000 to 646,000. An improvement is not in sight.

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Dickerson commented:

In the third quarter, we outperformed our previously stated adjusted EBITDA outlook, with a 61% year-over-year improvement. While net revenue was in line with our guidance range, we are taking actions to address our top-line performance. As we look ahead, we are confident in our disciplined approach to pursue initiatives that will enable us to realize the results we expect, with a deliberate emphasis on reaching profitability on an adjusted EBITDA basis next year.

Since adjusted EBITDA backs out depreciation and amortization, and share-based compensation, no one cares.

What investors do care about is whether Blue Apron’s revenue growth and customer count can turn positive. There is not a single sign of that. Dickerson has not delivered, and Wall Street doesn’t believe he can.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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