Are Price Hikes at Lyft on the Horizon?

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By Chris Lange Updated Published
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Are Price Hikes at Lyft on the Horizon?

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A recent analyst report suggests that Lyft Inc. (NASDAQ: LYFT) could turn a profit sooner than once thought, but there is a tradeoff. Lyft could achieve this but it would have to increase its prices to hit this target. This also implies that Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) would make a similar move as well.

Since Lyft came public back in March, along with Uber shortly after, investors’ biggest concern has been the path to profitability for each of these companies.

In a report from Guggenheim, the firm upgraded Lyft to a Buy rating with a $60 price target, implying an upside of 22% from Friday’s closing price of $49.11. Guggenheim’s Jake Fuller and Ali Faghri said in the report that It could be tough for Lyft to raise fare prices or cut driver wages in a competitive category, but the company’s pricing model over the past two quarters has been surprising.

The report also suggests that Uber’s need for cash in the Uber Eats business and its push into more international ride hailing puts Lyft in a good position to raise prices alongside Uber.

As a result, Guggenheim now expects Lyft to turn a profit in 2021 instead of 2023, mainly due to the price increases with limited impact on demand.

[nativounit]

Fuller and Faghri detailed in the report:

Price increases should stimulate take-rate, bolster contribution margin and yield narrowing losses, with the potential for upside to consensus across key metrics.

Also:

We all underestimated how quickly the competitive mindset might shift under public ownership and how much leverage there is in the model to pricing.

Shares of Lyft traded down about 1% to $50.62 Tuesday morning, in a 52-week range of $47.17 to $88.60. The consensus price target is $74.65.

Uber shares traded up about 2%, at $33.94 in a 52-week range of $32.92 to $47.08. The consensus analyst target is $51.47.

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Photo of Chris Lange
About the Author Chris Lange →

Chris Lange is a writer for 24/7 Wall St., based in Houston. He has covered financial markets over the past decade with an emphasis on healthcare, tech, and IPOs. During this time, he has published thousands of articles with insightful analysis across these complex fields. Currently, Lange's focus is on military and geopolitical topics.

Lange's work has been quoted or mentioned in Forbes, The New York Times, Business Insider, USA Today, MSN, Yahoo, The Verge, Vice, The Intelligencer, Quartz, Nasdaq, The Motley Fool, Fox Business, International Business Times, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Barron’s, Benzinga, and many other major publications.

A graduate of Southwestern University in Georgetown, Texas, Lange majored in business with a particular focus on investments. He has previous experience in the banking industry and startups.

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