Gemini Could Lose Its Edge Over ChatGPT Fast

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published

24/7 Wall St. Key Points

  • Many believe that Alphabet Inc.’s (NASDAQ: GOOGL) Gemini 3 is superior to OpenAI’s ChatGPT.

  • However, regulators may soon take away Alphabet’s biggest advantage.

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Gemini Could Lose Its Edge Over ChatGPT Fast

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OpenAI’s ChatGPT usage pattern numbers get worse by the day. A new study shows that visits to its primary site rose only 1% between August and November. In that time, visits to the primary Gemini site doubled. According to Bloomberg, monthly active users tell a similar story. “Gemini’s increased roughly 30% to 346 million while ChatGPT’s rose about 5% to 810 million.”

Sam Altman recently told his staff that the company was issuing a “code red” to improve the quality of ChatGPT. This is after many experts said Alphabet Inc.’s (NASDAQ: GOOGL | GOOGL Price Prediction) Gemini 3 was a better product.

Regulators may soon take away Alphabet’s biggest advantage. EU regulators, in particular, believe that the use of Google’s AI search product, which gives it massive reach, is essentially a monopoly. That is because its search results include AI Overviews and AI Mode features. Complete almost any Google search, and the AI Overview is at the top of the results page. Google pulls users into its AI universe.

Additionally, Bloomberg adds, “Google has privileged access to the entire internet through the web crawler it relies on to power Google Search.” Google can collect information for its massive AI Gemini 3 information database while it promotes its AI chat prowess at the same time. The Google search “dive deeper” mode called “AI Overviews” turns into an online chat product where users can additionally “ask anything.” That ask anything mode is access to Google’s AI underlying chat service.

The other regulatory issue is that most AI companies pay publishers and providers of data billions of dollars to have access to their information. When people do Google searches, Alphabet is collecting much of that data for free. Google Search is what Bloomberg calls “an automated program that browses the web to index its pages, and the crawler known as Googlebot organizes everything it finds into the company’s vast searchable index.” Publishers, aware of this system, want to get paid.

Finally, about 90% of searches conducted worldwide, outside a few countries including Russia and China, are done via Google. That alone gives both its data collection and AI products huge distribution platforms.

Alphabet’s greatest AI chat real rival is not OpenAI. It is regulators who view Google as a monopoly.

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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