Qualcomm’s Rosy Forecast: Too Good To Be True?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Qualcomm (QCOM) raised its forecasts for the next quarter and the stock was one of the few large caps that rose yesterday during the market sell-off. The company said that chip sales to handset manufacturers were going better that expected. The firm raised its guidance to the $2.1 to $2.2 billion range from the previous $2.0 to $2.1 billion. The company also raised its estimates for the number of chips it will sell.

For one day, at least, it was easy to forget how much trouble Qualcomm is having. The company’s stock is still down 15% over the last year. That is after being up about 100% over the last five years.

The litany of Qualcomm’s problems is very long and vexing.

Qualcomm is locked in multiple disputes with its largest customer, Nokia (NOK). In 2005, it sued the world’s largest handset company for patent infringement.  Licensing talks between the two companies are making no progress although the current arrangement expires on April 9. If the Nokia license for Qualcomm’s third generation chips lapses, the trouble for the company is terrific. As one investor told TheStreet.com: "This is the cornerstone of the bear case on Qualcomm."

And, there are multiple disputes between Qualcomm and Broadcom (BRCM). The two companies have several patent claims pending against one another.

Taken together, Qualcomm’s battles with customers and competitors are likely to keep a cap on it stock price. A modest tick up in chips sales is not going to alleviate that.

Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at [email protected]. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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