Will The Pilot’s Strike Push Spirit Into Bankruptcy?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Spirit Airlines is currently closed down due to a strike by its pilots. The carrier announced today that the shutdown will continue at least through Thursday.

The work stoppage could go on much longer. The pilot’s union issued an ominous statement: “We regret that Spirit management’s failure to take seriously its pilots’ contributions to the company has forced us to strike, but, one way or another, we will make our value clear,” said Capt. Andy Nelson, vice-chairman of the Spirit pilots’ unit of the Air Line Pilots Association, Int’l (ALPA). “For the sake of the passengers who have been inconvenienced by this situation, we urge Spirit management to get serious and present a contract proposal that is fair and equitable for all of its pilots.”

Spirit was founded in 1980 as Charter One. It has 31 aircraft and 40 destinations. The carrier’s central hubs are in Detroit and Fort Lauderdale.

Spirit is small enough that it may not be able to wait out the pilots like larger airlines including British Air, which is in a major labor dispute, can. Spirit has been in talks with the pilot’s union for four yearsSpirit claims that it is the lowest cost airline in the US. That mean Spirit probably runs on relatively modest margins.

Spirit is offering full refunds or booked tickets and credits which are as high as $100 each. Other airlines, especially Southwest Air (NYSE: LUV), say they are picking up passengers from the shuttered airline.  JetBlue NASDAQ:(JBLU) shares have moved up on the belief that it is also picking up new passengers

Spirit is privately held and its major owners are Oaktree Capital Management and Indigo Partners. Unlike most of  large U.S. airlines which have access to capital markets from money, Spirit has to depend on decisions by its equity holders to fund itself.

Even if Spirit has margins as good as the best run airline in the US–Southwest–its net income-to-sales is less than 2%. And, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics data, Spirit’s margins as indeed tiny, perhaps 8% in a very good year.

Benchmarking Spirit’s size against publicly traded carrier stocks, 24/7 Wall St. estimates that Spirit will have revenue of $710 million this year, and profits of $25 million. In other words, Spirit brings in less than $2 million a day. A strike that lasts two weeks could eliminate almost all Spirit’s profits for the next year.

Spirit will needs to have tens of millions of dollars in the bank should the strike last for a month or more. If it does not, it is hard to see, based on 24/7 Wall St.’s estimates, how it can survive into the third quarter without making massive cuts. Even that would probably not save the carrier.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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