Tesla’s Shares Down 13% in 2015

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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After rising 400% in the past two years, Tesla Motors Inc.’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares have dropped 13% in 2015. Falling oil prices and new alternative energy car competition may have hurt the company. Alternatively, the attractiveness of the Tesla brand among luxury car buyers may have begun to wane.

First among the most immediate concerns about Tesla is the drop in oil prices from $100 in June to under $50. However, this argument is preposterous because Tesla buyers spend above $70,000 for their cars (although with federal tax incentives, the figure is closer to $63,500). A Tesla buyer has an income that probably makes the price of gasoline irrelevant.

People who spend $70,000 for a Tesla can afford a new Mercedes or BMW. Bu, Tesla buyers do not want brands that have been established for decades, or ones that sell millions of cars a year. Tesla is already a collector’s car to the extent that the Tesla is both unique and extremely well built. Tesla has won several awards for being the highest quality car available in America. So, Tesla has one major factor in its favor.

Among the strikes against Tesla, as far as critics are concerned, is that larger car companies are making similar vehicles. The best example of this is the BMW i8, which is meant to compete with the new Tesla P85D super car. This new Tesla will sell for over $104,000. The BMW will sell for $136,000. And, the BMW is not a real electric car to the extent that it has a three-cylinder motor to operate in the place of the electric engine when needed.

Elon Musk, Tesla’s founder, recently said that his company will sell millions of cars a decade from now. There is already evidence that is less and less likely. China sales have faltered. Some experts believe that the number of likely buyers in the People’s Republic has fallen as novelty has worn thin. Additionally, Musk remarked that the availability of an affordable version of the Tesla may be further off that he indicated earlier.

The next two or three quarters of sales will be the key indicators of whether Tesla can continue its period of hyper growth. If the numbers show demand has slackened, the company will lose its place as a lead manufacturer of one of the cars of the future.

ALSO READ: Can BMW Sell $135,000 Electric Car?

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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