Can Tesla Sell 150,000 Cars This Year?

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Can Tesla Sell 150,000 Cars This Year?

© courtesy of Tesla Motors Inc.

[cnxvideo id=”655420″ placement=”ros”]Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) has announced that it had sold over 25,000 cars in the first quarter. For the company to be successful, it needs to show that its annual run rate can jump higher than that, particularly among its current model lines. Its much anticipated mass market Model 3 will not be available until the very end of the year.

In the first quarter, the model mix of sales:

Tesla delivered just over 25,000 vehicles in Q1, of which approx 13,450 were Model S and approx 11,550 were Model X. This was a new quarterly record for us and represents a 69% increase over Q1 2016. Our delivery count should be viewed as slightly conservative, as we only count a car as delivered if it is transferred to the customer and all paperwork is correct. Final numbers could vary by up to 0.5%.

The Model S is the Tesla sedan. The Model X is its crossover. Both are expensive. With features buyers can add to the base models, the cars can cost over $100,000.

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An annual sales run rate needs to rise to offer evidence that electric cars, or near-electric cars, from major competitors like BMW have not cut into Tesla’s sales growth. The BMW model meant to go head to head with the Model S is the i8. It does have a small gas engine to go along with its electric motor.

Tesla has its work cut out for it, as Wall Street sees the company. Its share price, at $280, is very near its all-time high. That gives it a market value of nearly $45 billion, just short of that of the Ford. It is a tremendous valuation, based to a large extent on a very sharp ramp up in sales.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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