Making Steel Just Got Cheaper (RTP, CLF, MT)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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UK-based miner Rio Tinto plc (NYSE:RTP) has announced a pricing agreement with Japan’s Nippon Steel for iron ore for the contract year beginning April 1, 2009. The new prices are about 33% below last year’s contract. A Rio executive said, “We believe this settlement is a realistic outcome for both parties – one that reflects the global market for iron ore and the current challenging market conditions facing our customers.”

The pressure on the steel industry has been fierce. Construction and auto making have stalled, causing demand to drop, and turning off demand for iron ore as well. Rio’s latest operations report noted that iron ore production was down 15% in the first quarter of 2009. US iron ore miner Cliffs Natural Resources (NYSE:CLF) saw revenue fall 6% in the first quarter and has cut production at its US mines going forward.

ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT), the world’s largest steelmaker, cut production by 50% in the first half of 2009, but expects an annual drop of 15%-20% in demand for steel in 2009. The company expects demand from China to pick up, as well as an improved market in the US to brighten its outlook.

Expectations are that Chinese steelmakers will drive a harder bargain with the iron ore producers, lopping another 8%-15% off the deal between Rio and Nippon Steel. That will really hurt.

Rio’s shares are off more than 1% in the pre-market, at $171.06. The company’s 52-week range is $59.20-$515.15. Cliffs is up a fraction to $23.24, near the bottom of its 52-week range of $11.80-$121.95. ArcelorMittal is down more than 1.5%, to $28.50. It’s 52-week range is $15.44-$104.77.

Paul Ausick
May 26, 2009

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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