Q1 25 EPS
$2.09
BEAT +1.95%
Est. $2.05
Q1 25 Revenue
$17.10B
BEAT +7.48%
Est. $15.91B
vs S&P Since Q1 25
+10.9%
BEATING MARKET
COP +38.6% vs S&P +27.7%
Market Reaction
Did COP Beat Earnings? Q1 2025 Results
ConocoPhillips kicked off 2025 on a strong note, posting first-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.09 against a consensus estimate of $2.05, a beat of 1.95%, while revenue of $17.10 billion cleared Wall Street's $15.91 billion estimate by 7.48%… Read more ConocoPhillips kicked off 2025 on a strong note, posting first-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.09 against a consensus estimate of $2.05, a beat of 1.95%, while revenue of $17.10 billion cleared Wall Street's $15.91 billion estimate by 7.48% and surged 24.0% year-over-year. The primary engine behind that volume-driven growth was the Marathon Oil acquisition, completed in late 2024, which pushed total production to 2,389 MBOED, up 487 MBOED from a year ago, more than offsetting a 6% decline in average realized prices to $53.34 per BOE as WTI softened. The company returned $2.50 billion to shareholders in the quarter through buybacks and ordinary dividends, continuing a pattern of disciplined capital returns even in volatile commodity markets. With an eye toward macro uncertainty, management trimmed full-year capital expenditure guidance to $12.30–$12.60 billion and reduced adjusted operating cost guidance, while leaving production targets intact, a signal of confidence in underlying operational efficiency.
Key Takeaways
- • Production increased 487 MBOED year-over-year to 2,389 MBOED, primarily from Marathon Oil acquisition
- • Pro forma underlying production grew 5% (115 MBOED) year-over-year
- • Higher volumes partially offset by lower realized prices (average $53.34/BOE vs $56.60/BOE in Q1 2024, a 6% decline)
- • Increased DD&A and operating costs partially offset volume-driven gains
- • Lower 48 delivered 1,462 MBOED including 816 MBOED from Permian, 379 MBOED from Eagle Ford, 212 MBOED from Bakken
COP YoY Financials
Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024, source: SEC Filings
“ConocoPhillips continued to demonstrate strong execution in the first quarter, and we reduced our full-year capital and operating cost guidance. Amid a volatile macro environment, we remain confident in the competitive advantages provided by our differentiated portfolio, strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation framework that prioritizes returns on and of capital to shareholders.”
— Ryan Lance, Q1 2025 Earnings Press Release
COP Earnings Trends
COP vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
COP EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
COP Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
COP Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 | — | $1.89 | — | $16.05B | -2.14% |
| Q4 25 MISS FY | $1.09 | $1.02 | -6.42% | $14.19B | — |
| FY Full Year | $6.29 | $6.16 | -2.04% | $61.55B | +2.27% |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $1.41 | $1.61 | +14.05% | $15.52B | +6.11% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $1.36 | $1.42 | +4.57% | $14.74B | -1.01% |
| Q1 25 BEAT | $2.05 | $2.09 | +1.95% | $17.10B | +7.48% |