Hewlett-Packard Earnings Preview (Q2 2007)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Hewlett-Packard (HPQ-NYSE) reports earnings after the close today.  Forget about today’s earnings because they already fessed up that they sent out an email noting that they would beat expectations.  This quarter report is going to be all about guidance and ancillary operations outside of just PC’s, laptops, and printers.

For formalities, today’s estimates are $0.69 EPS and $25.4 Billion.  More importantly, we have to look ahead: next quarter estimates are $0.64 and $24 Billion, Fiscal Oct-2007 is $2.73 and $100.65 Billion.  They may only give some rough percentages for Fiscal Oct-2008, but if they do give guidance that far out then the street is at roughly $3.05 EPS and $105.2 Billion revenues.  In percentage terms that represents roughly 11-12% EPS growth and almost 5% revenue growth.  These forward numbers are ex-acquisitions and ex-restructurings.

The company might not be able to take away as much market share from Dell as it did in the last two quarters, but it still could see some gains and its #1 PC-seller rank is not really at risk right now.  It makes more on servers now as well as more on the people side of the business with software and consulting. 

Shares of Hewlett-Packard are only up about 3% since its mid-February report, but shares are up 14% from the lows since that time.  With the gains seen today, shares of Dell (DELL) are up about 4% over the last 3 months, and Dell is up about 13% from its lows during the same period.  Jim Cramer just last night named CEO Mark Hurd as one of the top five transformational CEO’s out there.

Jon C. Ogg
May 16, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at [email protected]; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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