Research firm Counterpoint has posted its smartphone data for China in the fourth quarter of 2025. Its measurement is shipments rather than sales. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL | AAPL Price Prediction) is the clear winner in the world’s largest smartphone market. It led in both market share and shipment growth. Most importantly, it bested the performance of the local smartphone makers.
In the fourth quarter, Apple’s market share was 21.8%, which was up by 28% from the same quarter the year before. Counterpoint Senior Analyst Ivan Lam remarked:
Apple led China’s smartphone market in Q4 with a 22% share, driven by strong traction for the iPhone 17 series and an accelerated supply ramp. The Pro series, with its distinctive new camera design, and the base variants, with double the storage of last year’s equivalent but at the same price, have all seen a strong market response.
This gain came at the expense of Huawei and Vivo. Huawei’s market share fell by 13.7% to 14.6%. Vivo’s dropped 12.9% to 15.7%.
Apple’s numbers are particularly strong given that it does not have an artificial intelligence product in the market. Counterpoint reported in the middle of last year that AI had become an important driver of industry shipments. The AI for most phones was based on local offerings, particularly DeepSeek.
Apple will not have a real AI product until later this year, when the iPhone will include a version of Google’s Gemini. It is impressive that the delay clearly has not dented the company’s China shipments.
However, Apple continues to have a problem in China. In its most recently reported quarter, Greater China revenue dropped to $14.5 billion from $15 billion year over year. Yet, iPhone sales worldwide rose from $46.2 billion to $49.0 billion.
If Apple can gain market share in China without an AI product, it has a chance to hold its lead once the feature is added later this year.
Apple Stock Price Prediction and Forecast 2025–2030