30-Year Treasury Auction Sees Shockingly Low Auction Yield

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By Jon C. Ogg Published
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Investors have decided that the U.S. government should only have to pay 3.074% to borrow money for its 30-year bonds in the latest long bond auction. There was also a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.4, meaning that $2.40 was tendered for bonds for every $1 that the Treasury accepted.

With so much market volatility of late, it may seem expected that such a low yield would go off for the bond auction rate. The Treasury’s long bond is technically a two-year and 10-month maturity, and it comes with a 3.125% coupon. Still, isn’t the Federal Reserve expected to start raising interest rates in the middle of 2015, and isn’t the Fed exiting the bond-buying game here after October?

Some 94.39% was taken at the high. Also seen was that direct bidders took 21.5% and indirect bidders took 46.21% of the bids.

This came on a day when the Dow was hitting a -300 reading on the results, and the simultaneous drop was almost 36 points in the S&P 500. Perhaps the only surprise was that bonds did not respond even better. The on-the-run Treasury yield was 3.07% on last look, and the yield for the on-the-run 10-year Treasury was 2.33%.

If investors are truly worried an out of control interest rate hike is coming soon, they are sure voting differently with their dollars. Imagine what a 3.07% yield means — you almost double your money in 30 years, without considering that you get to pay tax on the Treasury income each year along the way!

ALSO READ: The 10 Safest High-Yield Dividends

Photo of Jon C. Ogg
About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. a673b.bigscoots-temp.com.

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