Oil Earnings Clear the Low Bar (OXY, COP)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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oil-well-image6Occidental Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:OXY) and ConocoPhillips Corp. (NYSE:COP) reported a mixed bag of first quarter 2009 earnings this morning. Net income met analysts’ expectations, but revenue did not.

Occidental reported EPS of $0.45/diluted share on $368 million in net income and revenues of $3.07 billion. Analysts had expected EPS of $0.37 on revenue of $3.18 billion. Sales volumes averaged 654,000 barrels of oil equivalent/day, up nearly 8% from the same period a year ago.

One year ago, Oxy reported first quarter revenues of over $6 billion and EPS of $2.22. The bar for the first quarter of 2009 was set so low that the company would have had to close its doors to miss jumping over it.

And here’s why earnings were so soft. Worldwide average realized prices for crude oil plunged, from $86.75/barrel a year ago to $39.29, a drop of nearly 55%. US natural gas prices also fell off the table, from $8.15/thousand cubic feet a year ago to $3.54/thousand cubic feet in the first quarter of 2009.

Oxy was able to rein in production costs a bit, from $14.75/barrel of oil equivalent to $12.19, a reduction of 17%. The company’s midstream and marketing operations earnings were off nearly 90%, from $123 million a year ago to just $14 million this quarter, due to “significantly” lower margins on natural gas liquids and a negative mark-to-market adjustment in the crude marketing business.

Conoco’s story is very similar. The company reported EPS of $0.56/diluted share on net income of $840 million and revenue of $30.7 billion. Analysts were expecting EPS of $0.42 on revenue of $26.34 billion. A year ago, Conoco posted EPS of $2.62 on revenues of $54.9 billion and net income of $4.14 billion.  ConocoPhillips is still one of our energy stocks that could double, although it has so far not participated very much with the broad market rally.

The company’s report pretty much followed the outline presented in its interim update earlier this month. Production jumped 58,000/barrels of oil equivalent/day sequentially and 131,000 barrels/day year-over-year. Still,  E&P earnings fell by almost 50%, from $2.89 billion a year ago to $700 million in the first quarter of 2009. That’s a drop of about 76%.

Conoco expects production to be lower in the current quarter, mostly due to planned maintenance. Refining is expected to increase from the 81% level of the first quarter to “the upper-80-percent range.”

Occidental shares are up about 1.5% in pre-market trading, and Conoco shares are up nearly 4%.

Paul Ausick
April 23, 2009

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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