3 Biotech Stocks With Upcoming Data That Could Be Huge

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By Lee Jackson Published
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Binary events are often the key element in moving a biotech stock higher. Negative binary results or actions can often move shares drastically lower, though. We scan our 24/7 Wall Street research data base on a regular basis looking for upcoming catalysts that can have the potential to move stocks. A new report from RBC focuses on top small-cap biotech stocks with key data readouts coming in 2015.

The RBC team focused on eight specific stocks with data expected in 2015. We screened those stocks for the companies with Phase 3 data that seems to be the farthest along and offers the best chance for approval. These stocks also rated Outperform at RBC, are Aerie Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: AERI), Ocular Therapeutix Inc. (NASDAQ: OCUL) and XOMA Corp. (NASDAQ: XOMA). It should be noted that buying and trading these stocks is only suitable for very aggressive accounts.

Aerie Pharmaceuticals

This clinical-stage pharmaceutical company is focused on the discovery, development and commercialization of first-in-class therapies for the treatment of patients with glaucoma and other diseases of the eye. The company recently announced the acceleration of the expected timeline for reporting efficacy results from its 400-patient Phase 3 registration trial (“Rocket 1”) of Rhopressa, a novel once-daily, triple-action eye drop being tested for its ability to lower intraocular pressure in patients with glaucoma or ocular hypertension.

ALSO READ: 3 Top Biotech Picks for 2015 With Upside and Takeover Potential

The RBC team is positive on the potential for the Phase 3 results and conclude that positive results could drive the stock into the $40 to $50 range. However, they caution, negative results could knock the stock to single digits. With an additional Phase 3 readout scheduled for 2016, there is a degree of binary backup.

The RBC rating for the stock is Outperform; Speculative Risk, with a price target of $45. The Thomson/First Call consensus price target is $40.40, and shares closed Wednesday at $28.82.

Ocular Therapeutix

This biopharmaceutical company is focused on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies for diseases and conditions of the eye using its proprietary hydrogel platform technology. Ocular Therapeutix’s lead product candidates are in Phase 3 clinical development for post-surgical ocular inflammation and pain and Phase 2 clinical development for glaucoma and allergic conjunctivitis.

RBC highlighted the company’s positive Phase 2 data and feel that the risk/reward is reasonably equal, given that a positive Phase 3 readout for OTX-TP is largely expected. If there are positive results in the Phase 2 study for OTX-TP in glaucoma, and a partnership for anti-VEGF IHD, the stakes and the upside could be much bigger.

ALSO READ: Wells Fargo’s Top Biotech Stocks for 2015

The RBC rating for this stock is also Outperform; Speculative Risk. The price target is $31, though the consensus target is set at $32. Shares closed Wednesday at $25.

XOMA

XOMA discovers and develops antibody-based therapeutics in the United States, Europe and the Asia Pacific. Its proprietary products include XOMA metabolic activating, sensitizing and antagonizing/deactivating antibodies that are in preclinical stage for the treatment of diabetes patients, a multi-antibody product for the treatment of human botulism poisoning and a topical antibacterial product for the treatment of human immune system.

The RBC team is focused on upcoming Phase 3 data for gevokizumab in two non-infectious uveitis (NIU) and one Behcet’s disease study. Behcet’s disease affects about 7500 people in the United States, and NIU about 150,000. Patient numbers outside the country could be higher. The data are expected by mid-year for the Behcet’s and the end of 2015 for NIU. The analysts feel that the risk/reward at current levels is even, and while data has been positive, trial enrollments and events are pushing out the timeline.

The RBC rating is again, Outperform; Speculative Risk. RBC pas a $9 price target, and the consensus is posted at $8.82. The stock closed on Wednesday at $3.43 a share.

ALSO READ: Celgene Expects to More Than Triple Earnings by 2020

Again, these are extremely risky, and investors could see a huge drop in their investment if data are negative. However, for aggressive traders, these are companies that are through to the Phase 3 level, and the chances for success are much better. Only speculative money should be used to own these stocks.

Photo of Lee Jackson
About the Author Lee Jackson →

Lee Jackson has covered Wall Street analysts' equity and debt research and equity strategy daily for 24/7 Wall St. since 2012. His broad and diverse career, which included a stint as the creative services director at the NBC affiliate in Austin, Texas, gives him unique insight into the financial industry and world.

Lee Jackson's journey in the financial industry spans over 30 years, with nearly two decades as an institutional equity salesperson at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Morgan Stanley. His career was marked by his presence on the sell side during pivotal Wall Street events, from the dot.com rise and bubble to the Long Term Capital Management debacle, 9/11, and the Great Recession of 2008. This is a testament to his resilience and adaptability in the face of market volatility.

Lee Jackson’s practical financial industry experience, acquired from a career at some of the biggest banks and brokerage firms, is complemented by a lifetime of writing on various platforms. This unique combination allows him to shed light on the intricacies and workings of Wall Street in a way that only someone with deep insider experience and knowledge can. Moreover, his extensive network across Wall Street continues to provide direct access for him and 24/7 Wall St., a privilege few firms enjoy.

Since 2012, Jackson’s work for 24/7 Wall St. has been featured in Barron’s, Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Business Insider, TradingView, Real Money, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, and other media outlets. He attended the prestigious Cranbrook Schools in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, and has a degree in broadcasting from the Specs Howard School of Media Arts.

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