How Analysts View Pfizer and Merck After Earnings

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By Chris Lange Updated Published
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How Analysts View Pfizer and Merck After Earnings

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Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) and Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MRK) released their most recent earnings reports last week. As a result, analysts weighed in on both of these pharmaceutical giants. 24/7 Wall St. included some of the highlights from the earnings reports, as well as brief analyst montages.

Pfizer reported quarterly adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53 and revenues of $14.05 billion. In the same period a year ago, Pfizer reported EPS of $0.54 on revenues of $13.12 billion. Fourth-quarter results also compare to the Thomson Reuters consensus estimates for EPS of $0.52 and $13.56 billion in revenues.

Quarterly revenues were up 7% year over year on strong operational growth, partially offset by a 7% negative impact from foreign exchange rates. Excluding the effects of its Hospira acquisition, foreign exchange rates and revenues from vaccine acquisitions, fourth-quarter revenues rose 5%.

The company guided 2016 revenues in a range of $49 billion to $51 billion and adjusted EPS in a range of $2.20 to $2.30. At constant currency rates, revenues are forecast in a range of $51.3 billion to $53.3 billion and adjusted EPS is expected to fall in a range of $2.36 to $2.46. Foreign exchange rates are expected to cost the company $0.09 per share in 2016, and Venezuelan foreign exchange rates are expected to cost Pfizer another $0.07. The proposed merger with Allergan has no impact on the company’s outlook.

Analysts had been looking for 2016 EPS of $2.36 and revenues of $52.49 billion, and Pfizer’s forecast, including currency effects, is lower than expected.

A few analysts weighed in on Pfizer after the earnings report:

  • Credit Suisse lowered its price target to $38 from $41.
  • Deutsche Bank has a Buy rating and lowered its price target from $43 to $41.
  • Bernstein has an Outperform rating but lowered its price target to $36 from $41.
  • BMO Capital Markets reiterated an Outperform rating and lowered its price target to $39 from $41.

Shares of Pfizer closed Friday at $29.03, with a consensus analyst price target of $39.63 and a 52-week trading range of $28.47 to $36.46.
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Merck had $0.93 in EPS on $10.21 billion in revenue, which compares to consensus estimates of $0.91 in EPS on revenue of $10.35 billion. In the same period of the previous year, the pharmaceutical giant posted EPS of $0.87 and $10.48 billion in revenue.

In the fourth quarter, revenues decreased by 3% compared with last year, including a 7% negative impact from foreign exchange and a 3% net positive impact primarily from the acquisition of Cubist Pharmaceuticals.

Also in the fourth quarter, Merck significantly advanced its development program for Keytruda (pembrolizumab), an anti-PD-1 therapy for the treatment of metastatic non-small cell lung cancer in previously treated patients whose tumors express PD-L1, as well as advanced melanoma.

In terms of the outlook for 2016, Merck expects EPS to be in the range of $3.60 to $3.75 and revenues between $38.7 billion and $40.2 billion. The consensus estimates call for $3.72 in EPS on $40.25 in revenue for the full year.

A few analysts weighed in on Merck following the release of its earnings report:

  • S&P Equity Research reiterated a Hold rating with a $56 price target.
  • Credit Suisse lowered its price target to $56 from $59.
  • Goldman Sachs has a Neutral rating but lowered its price target from $60 to $56.
  • BMO Capital Markets has an Outperform rating and lowered its price target to $58 from $60.

Shares of Merck closed Friday at $49.38, with a consensus price target of $60.11 and a 52-week range of $45.69 to $61.70.

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About the Author Chris Lange →

Chris Lange is a writer for 24/7 Wall St., based in Houston. He has covered financial markets over the past decade with an emphasis on healthcare, tech, and IPOs. During this time, he has published thousands of articles with insightful analysis across these complex fields. Currently, Lange's focus is on military and geopolitical topics.

Lange's work has been quoted or mentioned in Forbes, The New York Times, Business Insider, USA Today, MSN, Yahoo, The Verge, Vice, The Intelligencer, Quartz, Nasdaq, The Motley Fool, Fox Business, International Business Times, The Street, Seeking Alpha, Barron’s, Benzinga, and many other major publications.

A graduate of Southwestern University in Georgetown, Texas, Lange majored in business with a particular focus on investments. He has previous experience in the banking industry and startups.

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