Microsoft’s (MSFT) Ballmer Waits For Yahoo! (YHOO) To Lose Money, Then Move In For The Kill

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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msftMicrosoft’s (MSFT) CEO Steve Ballmer is making a good show of trying to get Yahoo! (YHOO) to discuss selling its search business. The combination could give MSFT 30% of the US market to Google’s (GOOG) 60%.

Ballmer once again said that he would like to sit down with Yahoo!’s new CEO Carol Bartz. But, that statement hides the fact that Yahoo! may well lose money this quarter, and Ballmer has no reason to talk until then. All he needs to do is send the message that he is open.

According to the AP, “Ballmer said at a technology and media summit Thursday in New York that a deal would help improve Microsoft’s Web search business by expanding the base of users.”

But, he won’t overpay for getting Yahoo!’s crown jewels, because he won’t have to.

A look at Yahoo!’s Q1 2008 numbers show that if display advertising at the portal drops 25%, Yahoo! could post a loss in the current quarter. Last year, the company’s operating income for the period was only $121 million on more than $1.8 billion in revenue.

Not much of a margin for error.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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