Amazon Marches Toward $100 Billion in Revenue

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Based on a crude calculation of Amazon.com Inc.’s (NASDAQ: AMZN) holiday sales, its forecast revenue for the current quarter and its revenue growth rate, the e-commerce’s firm will reach $100 billion in annual sales by the end of next year. There are only about 20 U.S. public corporations with revenue as large. Amazon’s march should shortly make it an unexpected giant, and a company with success that takes it well beyond that of an ordinary retailer.

At $100 billion in sales, Amazon would eclipse both Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT), the second largest retailer in America, and Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST) in revenue. Each of the two has the disadvantage of operating hundreds of physical stores, and the expenses that go with them. These traditional retailers, and others such as Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY) and Sears Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SHLD), cannot “open” new departments quickly or launch products in an instant. None could have put the Kindle into circulation, or given it front page billing on Amazon’s home page, which pushed sales quickly to over a million. The rapid pace at which it created the ubiquity of the e-reader and its follow-on tablet are beyond the capacity of even retail industry behemoth Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT). The same holds true for Amazon’s Prime instant video product, which rapidly became a direct competitor to both Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL).

The single most important case for how much more rapidly Amazon can change its business model compared to traditional retailers is its Amazon Web Services, a business that has allowed it to become the storage and application backbone of thousands of companies, some of which are among the largest in the world. The cloud-based product could never be challenged by bricks-and-mortar operations

Some of Amazon’s advantages as a company are not readily visible to the people who use it to shop. And that tells a great deal about the success of the company. It is an iceberg, much of which sits beneath the simple e-commerce business and has allowed the company to quickly become one of the largest American firms.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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