This Stock Wins in ‘Affordability’ Race

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published

24/7 Wall St. Key Points

  • About 29 million Americans smoke cigarettes, allowing Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) to raise its dividend for 56 straight years.

  • Inflation-proof Altria may be the best stock to own during the affordability crisis.

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This Stock Wins in ‘Affordability’ Race

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For some Americans, cigarettes are an essential product, despite the cost of smoking averaging $3,000 per smoker per year. This has allowed tobacco giant Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO | MO Price Prediction) to raise its dividend for 56 straight years. Its shares are up 12% this year, compared to 16% for the S&P 500.

A current dividend of $4.24 gives Altria a forward yield of 7.3%. This adds to its appeal for when the stock market falters. The current market cannot rise forever, so it is just a matter of when it will sell off and by how much.

After Altria announced another dividend increase, it said it plans to continue the boost that dividend through 2028. With tremendous cash flow and a strong balance sheet, there is no reason to think this will not be true.

Another Reason to Invest

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According to objective tests and the court of public opinion, prices for food, clothing, and medical insurance, at least, are rapidly rising. People need these things for day-to-day life. The so-called affordability crisis is at the center of many political debates.

About 12% of Americans, or 29 million of them, smoke cigarettes. Almost 62 million Americans use some form of tobacco products. Although cigarette use in America has declined, the drop in Altria’s revenue has been modest in the past decade.

In the most recently reported quarter, Altria revenue was down 6% year over year to $5.3 billion. However, its adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) were 6% higher to $1.23. Management affirmed its guidance of a 2% to 5% increase in EPS for the full year. Its success in the most recent quarter came from its legacy business. CEO Billy Gifford commented, “Our highly profitable traditional tobacco businesses performed well in a challenging environment in the first quarter.”

Almost all of Altria’s revenue comes from sales of cigarettes, and many investors are hesitant to buy its stock for this reason. However, the dividend is a significant incentive to offset that.

A recent increase in tariffs and the effects on inflation will affect the buying power of American consumers. That, in turn, threatens U.S. gross domestic product (GDP). Under those circumstances, Altria, the products of which are inflation-proof, may be the best stock to own. That is, if investors can ignore its tobacco business.

Altria Stock Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030

 

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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